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ECONOMICS COMMENTARY
Jan 25, 2013
Week Ahead Economic Overview [28 Jan-1 Feb]: US GDP growth expected to have slowed in Q4
The most important economic releases will come out of the US. The first estimate of US GDP in the final quarter of last year is expected to show the annualised rate of growth slowing from 3.1% in the third quarter to just 1.3%, according to a Reuters poll. However, such a weak number would provide a misleading guide to the underlying health of the US economy, with much of the deterioration due to weakness in the inventories and government spending components. Private sector growth, on the other hand, looks to have possibly accelerated, according to the business surveys, painting a promising picture of a return to faster growth in the first quarter.
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