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EQUITIES COMMENTARY
Jul 23, 2015
UK dividends in vogue after budget boost
The recent UK budget shook up the way individuals are taxed on their dividend income. This has seen investors rush to UK dividend ETFs.
- Investors can now hold "120,000 in FTSE 350 holdings before paying any dividend tax
- UK dividend ETFs saw their largest weekly inflow in nine months in the wake of the budget
- 73 FTSE all share firms moved dividends forward last time dividend taxes changed in 2010
One of the surprise items of the recently announced UK budged was a scraping of the UK Dividend Tax Credit rule, which means that UK investors will be taxed at their marginal tax rate for any dividend income above a "5,000 p.a. threshold.
The ramifications of this deal could be attractive for small investors given that an investor can hold roughly "120,000 in UK stocks before filling up their dividend tax allowance according to the 4.2% forecasted dividend yield delivered by the FTSE 350 index.
Investors flock to dividend ETFs
Investors seem to have taken notice as the four UK focused dividend ETFs experienced some of the strongest inflow of the last nine months in the wake of the budget being announced. These four funds experienced "19.6m of inflows on the week following the budget, which takes their AUM to a new all-time high of "937m.
BlackRock appears to have been the biggest benefactor of this trend as its iShares UK Dividend UCITS ETF saw over half of the inflows, taking its AUM past the "850m mark for the first time ever.
Echoes of the past
While these developments will benefit investors with relative small holdings of UK equities, those which receive significant dividend income stand to see their tax bill rise significantly. This point was noted by consultancy PwC, which stated that the reform, due to come into effect in April 2016, "falls disproportionally" on owner managers. In the worst cases, investors in the top income bracket stand to see their marginal tax rate for dividends earned over "5,000 rise by 7.6% overnight.
This could see companies rush to bring dividends forward in order to get ahead of the price rise; similar to what was seen in the US in 2012 when US companies rushed to pay special dividends amid fears of a dividend tax increase rise.
The UK experienced a similar phenomenon in 2010 when companies hastened to pay dividends to get ahead of a rise in income tax. This saw 73 FTSE all share constituents bring forward dividend in order to make the cut off. Several firms also paid special one off payments in order to limit their shareholder's tax bill.
This in turn could prove a boon for those ETF investors who bought into the UK dividend focused funds in recent weeks.
Simon Colvin | Research Analyst, Markit
Tel: +44 207 264 7614
simon.colvin@markit.com
S&P Global provides industry-leading data, software and technology platforms and managed services to tackle some of the most difficult challenges in financial markets. We help our customers better understand complicated markets, reduce risk, operate more efficiently and comply with financial regulation.
This article was published by S&P Global Market Intelligence and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is a separately managed division of S&P Global.
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