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Jan 30, 2019
Market Briefing: Nicaragua
Nicaragua has suffered severe political instability in 2018, leading to a deep recession, sharp falls in its banking sector deposits and moves towards political sanctions against its administration, in particular under the US's NICA Act, passed in December 2018. In a 30-minute briefing, IHS Markit experts from our Country Risk, Economics and Banking Risk teams consider key topics including:
- Whether the administration of President Ortega has succeeded in stemming the violent protests that developed since April 2018
- Where civil disorder risks are greatest should protests redevelop in 2019
- How likely is the current government to maintain its hold on power
- How severe was the economic impact of protests in 2018
- Whether economic improvement is possible in 2019 given the slowdown in protests, or whether reduced access to official funding will prolong recession and challenge Nicaragua's currency peg
- The sharp decline in banking sector deposits, and its impact on the sector's overall financial stability
- Whether a bank deposit withdrawal freeze or state intervention to rescue banks is likely in 2019
IHS Markit Speakers:
Brian Lawson, Senior Economic and Financial Consultant
Cristina Arbelaez, Senior Economist
Kari Pries, Senior Research Analyst, Country Risk
Natasha Marade Mcswiggan, Economist
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