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    Reinventing the Truck

    Electrification, autonomous technologies, stringent regulations…the next 20 years can expect major change across the transportation and energy sectors. 

    The trucking industry will have an outsize role in the upcoming energy transition as heavy-duty commercial vehicles account for almost a quarter of global refined product demand. Being increasingly exposed to disruptive forces could radically alter long-established trends in heavy-duty trucking and have critical impacts on fuel, electricity and hydrogen demand. The S&P Global Mobility Reinventing the Truck service provides an understanding of major upcoming changes in the trucking industry. The service provides:

    • Sales, fleet and fuel demand outlooks to 2050
    • Two scenarios included
    • Detail on the policy, technology, and cost assumptions
    • Total cost of ownership analysis 
    • Markets covered: China, United States, Europe and Japan
    • Updated once a year: Latest update December 2023
    • Data available in annual buckets

    Learn more Talk to an S&P Global representative
    CONTACT ME
    See the data fields that are included for both scenarios: Green Rules and Inflections
    DOWNLOAD
    Download an overview/excerpt from the 2021 Reinventing the Truck report
    RTT 2021 OVERVIEW

    Experts

    Andrej Divis

    Members of his team are located in Brazil, mainland China, India, Japan and the United States as well as in Europe. Educated in the United States, he holds a master's degree from The Johns Hopkins University and a bachelor's from Georgetown. His spoken languages include English, Czech and German.Andrej brings nearly two decades of automotive and commercial-vehicle industry experience to the role, having begun his career in 2001 as a truck analyst with PlanEcon/Global Insight (now part of S&P Global), covering Eastern Europe and the Middle East. He held a variety of analytical and planning positions with General Motors in Europe starting in 2003. These included assignments in Germany and in Hungary and roles in forecasting; new business development; and product planning. Based in the United States now, Andrej re-joined Automotive in 2012, focusing on the East European and North American truck markets.Recent team efforts have focused on the effects of the COVID pandemic on the commercial-vehicle markets, and on upcoming new-technology rollouts, including the anticipated increased electrification of buses and trucks.

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    Miki Sasaki

    Miki's responsibilities are global powertrain forecast, and new technology research. The current main tasks are electrification trends forecast and autonomous trends. Before joining S&P Global, she worked in research and development for around 20 years. Miki's last projects were electric vehicle development, truck platooning project and CO2 reduction project.

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    Antti Lindstrom

    His primary responsibility is production forecasts for the three North American markets (United States, Canada, Mexico) including the market intelligence, trends and technical developments across the region.Antti earned a Master's degree at the University of Michigan and a Bachelor's degree at the University of Turku, in Finland. Languages: English, Finnish, German, Swedish.

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    Christiane Stein

    For more than 15 years, Christiane has been looking after forecasts for trucks and buses. She joined the company in mid-2016 and manages the Global Production Forecast for medium and heavy commercial vehicles. This includes OEM intelligence, capacity forecasting, sourcing strategies, and segmentation. Christiane leads a team of analysts located in mainland China, India, South Africa, Brazil, and North America.Prior to joining S&P Global, Christiane worked nearly ten years in the automotive industry. Her work experience includes positions at MAN Truck & Bus AG and BorgWarner Turbo Systems where she forecasted and segmented the global truck, bus, and passenger car markets.Recent team efforts have focused on the effects of the COVID pandemic and component shortages on the commercial-vehicle production. The latest product offering by the team is the MHCV Production Capacity Forecast.Christiane graduated in Business Administration in Leipzig, Germany. Her spoken languages include English, German and Italian.

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    Jia Li

    Jia is responsible for medium and heavy commercial vehicle industry analysis and sales forecast in Greater China. Her expertise includes sales forecast, OEM strategy, market trend, competition analysis, and analysis on industry-related regulation and policy. Before joining S&P Global in July 2011, she worked as senior industry analyst in the Strategy Department of a leading Chinese medium and heavy commercial vehicle OEM. Prior to that, she gained macroeconomics research background when she worked on the trading floor of a world-class fixed asset investment firm.Jia holds an MS degree in Macroeconomics, Finance and Statistics from Humbolt University of Berlin in Germany.

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