자동차 OEM의 생산 능력과 가동률은 해당 산업뿐만 아니라 세계 경제의 주요 지표로서 작용합니다. 장단기적 영향에 대한 이해를 포함한 신뢰할 수 있는 생산 능력 및 가동률 예측에 접근하는 것은 산업의 성장 기회와 위험신호를 식별하는 데 필수적입니다. SS&P Global의 '중형 및 대형 상용차(MHCV) 공장 생산 능력 예측'은 계획과 투자 결정을 최적화하고, 기회를 극대화하고 위험을 최소화하며, 성공적인 경쟁 전략을 구축하는 것을 지원하는 정보와 통찰을 제공합니다.
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중대형 상용차 공장 생산 능력 예측
대체 불가능한 통찰
자동차 산업을 선도하고 영향력을 행사하는 고객들은 MHCV 공장 생산 능력 예측을 다음을 위해 사용합니다:
OEM
- 경쟁업체의 지리적 입지 및 생산 능력 평가
- 경쟁업체의 생산 능력 가동률 및 투자 측정
- 제조 파트너십 기회 식별
공급업체
- 공장 개조를 위한 기회 타게팅
- Tier-1 "just-in-time" 코로케이션 전략 수립
- OEM 고객사의 제조 위치와 공급업체 생산 위치의 근접성 평가
정부 기관
- 예측 기간동안의 국내 MHCV 부문의 고용률, 생산 능력 및 가동률 이해
금융 기관
- OEM의 제조 자산 가동률 및 시장 변화에 따른 대응 능력 평가
- OEM의 제조 비용 및 노동조합의 발자국 평가
글로벌한 규모의 심층 분석
'MHCV 공장 생산 용량 예측'은 53개국과 500개 이상의 공장(완전히 건설된 공장과 철거된 공장 포함)에 걸쳐 타의 추종을 불허하는 'MHCV 생산 예측'의 커버리지를 10년의 과거 기간(2010년~)과 8년의 예측 기간(현재 연도 +7년)으로 확장합니다. OEM별, 공장별, 지역별 총 생산능력/가동률에 대한 분석을 제공하며, 필드는 다음과 같습니다:
- 지역
- 국가/영토
- 제조 그룹
- 제조 업체
- 노동 대표
- 생산/제조 공장
- 공장 발자국(위도 및 경도)
- 최초 아웃풋 날짜
- 교대근무 설정
- 생산량
- 정규화된 용량 및 가동률(%)
- 정기 용량 및 가동률(%)
- 최대 용량 및 가동률(%)
'공장 생산 용량 모듈'은 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 내역 및 예측 데이터는 모두 연간 버킷으로 제공됩니다. 더불어, 온라인 비즈니스 인텔리전스 툴인 'Autoinsight'에서는 글로벌 MHCV 생산 레이아웃에 대한 시각적 분석을 제공하는 지도 기능도 제공됩니다.
Experts
Andrej Divis
Members of his team are located in Brazil, mainland China, India, Japan and the United States as well as in Europe. Educated in the United States, he holds a master's degree from The Johns Hopkins University and a bachelor's from Georgetown. His spoken languages include English, Czech and German.Andrej brings nearly two decades of automotive and commercial-vehicle industry experience to the role, having begun his career in 2001 as a truck analyst with PlanEcon/Global Insight (now part of S&P Global), covering Eastern Europe and the Middle East. He held a variety of analytical and planning positions with General Motors in Europe starting in 2003. These included assignments in Germany and in Hungary and roles in forecasting; new business development; and product planning. Based in the United States now, Andrej re-joined Automotive in 2012, focusing on the East European and North American truck markets.Recent team efforts have focused on the effects of the COVID pandemic on the commercial-vehicle markets, and on upcoming new-technology rollouts, including the anticipated increased electrification of buses and trucks.
Ewa Root
Global lead of S&P Global's Heavy Commercial Vehicle Sales Forecsting team, overseeing vehicle sales forecast process, looking after analysis of market trends and tracking manufacturer's strategies, ivestment plans and competitive positions. Members of her team, located in China, Brazil, India and Europe, specialize in heavy commercial vehicle forecasting and vehicle segmentation analysis. Ewa has more than 20 years of direct experience in forecasting trends in the automotive industry, having begun her carrier as an automotive analyst with McGraw-Hill/Global Insight (now part of S&P Global).Ewa holds a Master of Science degree in economics from the University of Wroclaw in Poland. She speaks fluent Polish and English.
Antti Lindstrom
His primary responsibility is production forecasts for the three North American markets (United States, Canada, Mexico) including the market intelligence, trends and technical developments across the region.Antti earned a Master's degree at the University of Michigan and a Bachelor's degree at the University of Turku, in Finland. Languages: English, Finnish, German, Swedish.
Christiane Stein
For more than 15 years, Christiane has been looking after forecasts for trucks and buses. She joined the company in mid-2016 and manages the Global Production Forecast for medium and heavy commercial vehicles. This includes OEM intelligence, capacity forecasting, sourcing strategies, and segmentation. Christiane leads a team of analysts located in mainland China, India, South Africa, Brazil, and North America.Prior to joining S&P Global, Christiane worked nearly ten years in the automotive industry. Her work experience includes positions at MAN Truck & Bus AG and BorgWarner Turbo Systems where she forecasted and segmented the global truck, bus, and passenger car markets.Recent team efforts have focused on the effects of the COVID pandemic and component shortages on the commercial-vehicle production. The latest product offering by the team is the MHCV Production Capacity Forecast.Christiane graduated in Business Administration in Leipzig, Germany. Her spoken languages include English, German and Italian.
Jia Li
Jia is responsible for medium and heavy commercial vehicle industry analysis and sales forecast in Greater China. Her expertise includes sales forecast, OEM strategy, market trend, competition analysis, and analysis on industry-related regulation and policy. Before joining S&P Global in July 2011, she worked as senior industry analyst in the Strategy Department of a leading Chinese medium and heavy commercial vehicle OEM. Prior to that, she gained macroeconomics research background when she worked on the trading floor of a world-class fixed asset investment firm.Jia holds an MS degree in Macroeconomics, Finance and Statistics from Humbolt University of Berlin in Germany.
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