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Viewing 901 - 1200 of 1508 results

  1. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices rise for a second week

    04 December 2019 William May

    Better news on manufacturing is providing some support for commodities.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  2. Capital Markets weekly: ICMA conference highlights complexity of ESG fund-labelling initiative

    03 December 2019 Brian Lawson

    ICMA’s AMIC conference on 27 November considered the EU’s efforts to establish an “Ecolabel” for environmentally-friendly investment vehicles. ...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  3. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities rise but without conviction

    27 November 2019 William May

    Commodity prices finally join other asset classes in increasing

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  4. Capital Markets Weekly: China successfully returns to dollar market in Thanksgiving-affected week

    27 November 2019 Brian Lawson

    This week’s clear highlight is China’s return to the dollar bond market with a substantially-oversubscribed four-tranche issue.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  5. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for October

    27 November 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.2% in October

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  6. Kenya data regulations

    21 November 2019 William Farmer

    New data protection law increases regulatory burden in Kenya's mobile money lending sector; more regulation likely

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
  7. Thanksgiving turkey price forecast

    21 November 2019 David Deull

    After drying out in 2018, turkey prices are set to soak up a little more gravy this Thanksgiving

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  8. Western Balkan's mini-Schengen

    20 November 2019 Petya Barzilska Dijedon Imeri

    Western Balkan "mini-Schengen" initiative has potential to boost trade, but will be limited to agriculture and tourism

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
  9. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities fail to look on the bright-side

    20 November 2019 William May

    Despite positive wording coming from US-China trade talks commodity prices fell again last week

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  10. Colombia policy opposition

    19 November 2019 Arthur Dhont

    Colombian government likely to struggle to implement economic policies in 2020 because of social and legislative opposition

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  11. Capital Markets Weekly: Sweden selling assets on environmental grounds following sizable Norwegian divestitures

    19 November 2019 Brian Lawson

    Sweden’s central bank has followed the recent example set by Norway’s state pension fund in divesting assets deemed to have a high carbon footprint...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  12. Capital controls in sub-Saharan Africa

    19 November 2019 Thea Fourie Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Over the past decade strong economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa was accompanied by resurgent commodity prices and growing demands for infrastructure...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  13. Italy steelworks nationalization

    15 November 2019 Dijedon Imeri

    Dispute over Taranto steelworks increases likelihood of nationalization but does not represent shift in Italy's industrial policy

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
  14. Capital Markets Weekly: Emerging Market issuers active despite recent bond-market yield reversal

    15 November 2019 Brian Lawson

    Since late August, the negative-yielding debt stock fell USD5 trillion to USD12 trillion with France’s 10 year OAT now giving a positive yield...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  15. Holiday retail sales outlook 2019

    13 November 2019 James Bohnaker

    Retailers have good reason to be optimistic about the upcoming holiday shopping season, but not without a hint of caution

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Consumer Spending
    • Automotive Retail Trends/Transformation
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  16. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade deal hopes unfulfilled

    13 November 2019 William May

    Optimism that tariffs might be selectively reduced lifted commodity prices mid-week before falling flat

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  17. Djibouti opposition protests

    13 November 2019

    Opposition protests to escalate before Djibouti’s 2020-21 elections, with presidential succession and boundary disputes being notable triggers...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  18. Hercules plan will help Greek banks to reduce their high NPL exposures

    13 November 2019 Diego Iscaro

    Greece has unveiled an asset protection scheme aimed at helping banks to lower their non-performing loan (NPL) ratio, which is the highest in...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  19. Capital Markets Weekly: China and Brazil achieve long-dated debt successes

    08 November 2019 Brian Lawson

    China raised 12- and 20-year funding in its first Euro-deal since 2004. Brazil sold 10-and 31-year dollar debt at its second-lowest cost to date....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  20. RCEP deal creates giant new FTA in Asia Pacific as India stands aside

    06 November 2019 Rajiv Biswas

    Rajiv Biswas, our Asia Pacific Chief Economist, provides his comments on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership deal which will create...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Government Policy & Regulations
    • Economic Data
  21. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities resist positive events and press lower

    06 November 2019 William May

    A PMI surprise, a Fed rate cut, and trade optimism failed to buoy commodity markets

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  22. Death of Baghdadi

    05 November 2019 Ludovico Carlino Ege Seckin Columb Strack

    Baghdadi's death unlikely to significantly reduce capabilities of Islamic State-aligned localized jihadist factions in Syria and Iraq

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
  23. Nile dam dispute

    04 November 2019 Jordan Anderson Jihane Boudiaf Jack A. Kennedy

    Ethiopia, Egypt, Sudan likely to resume talks over Nile dam dispute; escalation to military action highly unlikely

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Operational Risk
  24. Capital Markets Weekly: Lebanon and Argentina under bond-market scrutiny

    01 November 2019 Brian Lawson

    Debt markets eased only modestly after the first-round Peronist victory in Argentina’s elections but Lebanon is attracting growing adverse focus....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  25. Italy's regional elections

    01 November 2019 Dijedon Imeri

    Umbria regional elections to bolster Italy’s Lega-led opposition and undermine cohesion of national government

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
  26. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity price basket reaches lowest level of 2019

    30 October 2019 Thomas McCartin

    Markets have taken on a bearish view of the near future due to trade policy uncertainty.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  27. Halloween candy spending to shamble on as prices jolt to life

    28 October 2019 David Deull

    We are forecasting Americans to spend a total of $2.7 billion on Halloween candy in 2019, the most yet

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Income Distribution
    • Consumer Spending
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  28. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for September

    28 October 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in September

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  29. Hungarian municipal elections

    28 October 2019 Blanka Kolenikova

    Hungarian opposition's municipal election gains bolster hopes for 2022 general poll, but Fidesz government remains stable

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  30. Capital Markets Weekly: Barbados completes debt restructuring and Lebanon facing growing risks

    25 October 2019 Brian Lawson

    While Barbados appears to have reached agreement with international creditors, Lebanese yields indicate increasing growing debt-sustainability...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  31. The global economy: Rising trade policy uncertainty is weighing heavily on capital spending

    25 October 2019 Sara L. Johnson, CBE Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    The October Global Economic Forecast Flash from Chief Economist Nariman Behravesh and Sara Johnson, Executive Director, Global Economics

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  32. European development financing

    24 October 2019 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    EU proposals to establish development bank targeting sub-Saharan Africa likely to advance slowly given significant disagreements

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  33. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Soft Chinese data weighs on commodities

    23 October 2019 William May

    The on-going slow-down in Chinese industrial activity continues to check raw material prices

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  34. Demographics in Europe: Which countries are poised to succeed

    23 October 2019 Sharon Fisher

    While demographic challenges are daunting, some countries are better positioned than others to live with shrinking populations.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  35. Bank of Korea’s policy rate cut reflects growing concerns about slower global economic growth

    21 October 2019 Rajiv Biswas

    Rajiv Biswas, Asia Pacific Chief Economist at S&P Global, provides his comments on BOK’s decision to cut the policy rate

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  36. Capital Markets Weekly: CMBS record sale and sub-1percent corporate perpetual issue highlight yield appetite

    21 October 2019 Brian Lawson

    A post-crisis record CMBS sale, the first sub-1% corporate perpetual, and a large Italian project bond all indicate healthy risk appetite

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  37. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices slide in mixed week

    16 October 2019 William May

    Optimism over a possible US-China trade deal was not enough to keep commodity prices from falling

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  38. Capital Markets Weekly: Enel highlights divergent approaches to issue environmentally-friendly debt

    11 October 2019 Brian Lawson

    Italian power firm Enel will stop issuing Green Bonds, in favor of sustainable debt, while Sweden and Italy are preparing Green Bond debuts.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
    • Economics
  39. Peru shuts down Congress

    11 October 2019 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Peruvian president's move to constitutionally shut down Congress likely to trigger political standoff, delaying investments and projects

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economics
  40. Chile's mining review

    10 October 2019 Carla Selman

    Chilean Supreme Court order to re-assess mining project signals legal uncertainties and likely delays for large-scale developments

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economics
  41. Kenya's budget cut

    10 October 2019 William Farmer

    Kenya's proposed budget cut likely to target public-sector wage bill, increasing likelihood of strikes

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economics
  42. Capital Markets Weekly: Italian and Greek debt successes highlight continuing yield-driven diversification

    07 October 2019 Brian Lawson

    Highlights this week include Greek corporate issuance and record-low yields for auctions of five and ten-year Italian government debt.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
    • Economics
  43. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Energy prices retreat as supply fears recede

    02 October 2019 William May

    Energy prices retrace lower whilst trade issues and politics cast a long shadow of uncertainty

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  44. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Energy prices retreat as supply fears recede

    02 October 2019 William May

    Energy prices retrace lower whilst trade issues and politics cast a long shadow of uncertainty

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  45. Belarusian external finances highlight vulnerability and dependency on Russia

    02 October 2019 Venla Sipilä-Rosen

    Having given up earlier plans to issue a Eurobond this year Belarus remains financially fragile.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  46. Capital Markets Weekly: Multiple emerging-market sovereign bond sales well-received

    27 September 2019 Brian Lawson

    Emerging market sovereign supply has revived strongly with sovereign issuance by South Africa, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain, Ecuador and Uruguay this week....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  47. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for August

    26 September 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in August.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  48. Ecuador mining prohibition

    26 September 2019 Arthur Dhont

    Constitutional Court ruling denies province-wide anti-mining referendum in Azuay, Ecuador, reducing likelihood of mining prohibition

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Taxation Risk
    • Legal Risk
  49. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil and gas propel commodities higher

    25 September 2019 William May

    A second Fed rate cut supports growth while oil volatility hits commodity prices

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  50. Israel's election outlook

    24 September 2019 Jack A. Kennedy

    Inconclusive Israeli parliamentary election increases likelihood of unity government being formed; shifts in security policy unlikely

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  51. Capital Markets Weekly: ECB policy-easing drives strong financial and corporate sector supply

    20 September 2019 Brian Lawson

    Following last week’s ECB easing, European markets have shown strong demand, absorbing an impressive corporate and financial-sector calendar....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  52. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Improving sentiment boosts commodities

    18 September 2019 William May

    Easing trade tensions and policy stimulus in Europe lifts prices

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  53. Ethiopia's new economic program challenged by foreign-exchange scarcity

    17 September 2019 Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Alisa Strobel

    Ethiopia's new economic program to strengthen investor protections but foreign-exchange scarcity will persist, limiting investment inflows.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  54. Germany and the ‘R’ word – what type of recession should we expect

    17 September 2019 Timo Klein

    Understanding the factors that have likely led to a technical recession in Germany around mid-2019 is key to assessing the outlook in the months...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  55. Economic outlook following ECB rate cuts

    13 September 2019 Ken Wattret

    Ken Wattret, Chief European Economist, provides his initial thoughts on economic outlook following the European Central Bank meeting

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  56. The Bank of Canada’s sticky situation

    13 September 2019 Arlene Kish

    The Bank believes that “the current degree of monetary policy stimulus remains appropriate.”

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  57. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Good news no help to commodity prices

    13 September 2019 William May

    A flurry of good news eases tensions but commodity prices resist the risk-on mood

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  58. Capital Markets Weekly: Berkshire Hathaway record Yen deal indicates growing but constrained funding opportunities

    13 September 2019 Brian Lawson

    Berkshire Hathaway sold a record JPY430 billion global yen issue: 2019 Samurai supply already has surpassed the prior annual peak.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  59. Market Briefing: Argentina's October elections and the political and economic outlook

    12 September 2019 Paula Diosquez-Rice Carla Selman Brian Lawson

    Spend 30 minutes with our economics and country risk experts as we look at what's unfolding in Argentina.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

  60. The global economy: Increased uncertainty, apprehension

    12 September 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    A look at the global economic outlook from our Chief Economist, Nariman Behravesh

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  61. Household income gains slowed but poverty rate fell in 2018

    11 September 2019 James Bohnaker David Deull

    Tight labor markets are continuing to boost wages across income groups, while consumer price inflation has moderated relative to 2018

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  62. Jamaica to exit IMF agreement with above-average growth

    11 September 2019

    Jamaica’s economic management has improved greatly during the three-year Stand-by Arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund, which...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  63. Higher nickel prices are here to stay

    11 September 2019 Amanda Eglinton

    LME nickel price will move moderately lower over the near term once the short covering is completed

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  64. Capital Markets Weekly: Primary surge after Labor Day indicates continuing strong debt demand

    06 September 2019 Brian Lawson

    Markets have been highly active after Labor Day: a record 21 US high grade deals were launched on 3 September, bolstered by poor US PMI data....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  65. Pension reform in Brazil

    06 September 2019 Carlos Caicedo

    Brazilian Senate's finalisation of pension reform with slight modifications is very likely, implementation to help reduce fiscal deficit

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  66. Nigeria's new cabinet

    05 September 2019 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D.

    New Nigerian cabinet's composition indicates government unlikely to reduce power-sector liquidity shortages and energy industry corruption

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  67. Risks of a broad US corporate debt bubble overstated

    04 September 2019 Michael Ryan

    Risk to the corporate debt market is not systemic and remains contained when examined in aggregate, with concerns limited to certain sub-industries...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  68. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities fall on continued concerns about demand

    04 September 2019 William May

    Trade tensions ease but commodities continue to struggle

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  69. Capital Markets Weekly: Argentina seeks debt rescheduling

    03 September 2019 Brian Lawson

    Argentina plans “voluntary reprofiling” of its international debt including IMF borrowings and enforced payment delay on domestic obligations...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  70. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for July

    29 August 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.4% in July.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Market Analysis & Forecasts
    • Economic Data
  71. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade actions create a more bearish outlook for commodities

    28 August 2019 William May

    Tariff hikes again lower expectations for demand

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  72. Capital Markets Weekly: German 30-year Bund sale at negative yields attracts limited demand

    23 August 2019 Brian Lawson

    This week’s most notable development was Germany’s undersubscribed 30-year EUR2 billion Bund auction: EUR824 million was sold at -0.11%.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  73. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Recession worries undercut commodity prices

    21 August 2019 William May

    Uncertainty and fear of slowing aggregate demand send prices down again

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  74. Ethiopia's solar power reforms

    19 August 2019

    Ethiopia's proposed off-grid electricity tariff reform and predictable network expansion plans likely to increase solar power investment

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
  75. Guatemala's next president

    16 August 2019 Kari Pries, Ph.D.

    Guatemala’s next president elected on pro-business platform, policy implementation likely to face delays in opposition-led Congress

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  76. Capital Markets Weekly: Argentine Primary election vote triggers market shock, new sovereign-default fears

    16 August 2019 Brian Lawson

    Argentine securities faced exceptional volatility after its Primary elections indicated a first-round victory for the Peronist opposition.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  77. Argentinian primary election

    15 August 2019 Carla Selman

    Opposition wins Argentine primaries making re-election of pro-business president highly unlikely, risk of state interventionism increases

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  78. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade concerns continue to weigh on commodity markets

    14 August 2019 William May

    Commodity prices retreat, broadly led by an overdue correction in Iron ore

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  79. Ranking metropolitan business costs

    12 August 2019 Karl Kuykendall

    Atlanta, Dallas, Jacksonville, Nashville, Phoenix and Raleigh strike the right note with business costs/employment growth

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  80. Capital Markets Weekly: Increased trade conflict sparks further bond-market rally

    09 August 2019 Brian Lawson

    Negative-yielding debt grew USD1 trillion in two days after the US expanded trade sanctions against China

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  81. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 12 August 2019

    09 August 2019 Sian Jones Rajiv Biswas Joseph Hayes Chris Williamson Bernard Aw

    Week Ahead Economic Preview

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

  82. Assessing the risk of a currency war

    07 August 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Nariman Behravesh’s analysis of the devaluation of the renminbi and economic impact

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  83. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade actions offset any positives

    07 August 2019 William May

    The prospect of a broader and more prolonged US-China trade issues unsettles markets.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  84. Security in Kashmir

    06 August 2019

    Central government to oversee Indian Kashmir's security following special autonomy abrogation, increasing likelihood of cross-border skirmishes...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
  85. Non-damage business interruption

    06 August 2019 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Modelling non-damage business interruption caused by terrorism attacks

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
  86. Capital Markets Weekly: Worldline convertible bond sets new record for negative coupon

    02 August 2019 Brian Lawson

    More outstanding debt, especially in Euros, now provides negative returns. Worldline’s new convertible sale set a record of -0.96%.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  87. Syria sanctions implications

    02 August 2019 Columb Strack

    Fuel shortages resulting from Western sanctions on Syrian government likely indirectly benefit Al-Qaeda-linked jihadists in Idlib province

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  88. Assessing slack: How tight is the French labor market

    02 August 2019 Diego Iscaro

    There are indications that labor market conditions in France are tighter than suggested by the standard unemployment rate

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

  89. Chile eco-nihilist terrorism

    01 August 2019 Carla Selman

    IED attacks highlight new targets in Chile’s capital, including companies’ assets and executives, hastening passage of anti-terrorism law

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  90. Markets should not be confused by the FOMC

    01 August 2019 Ken Matheny, Ph.D.

    Analysis from our US economics team on the July 31 FOMC rate decision and market reaction

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Government Policy & Regulations
  91. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities continue to mark time

    31 July 2019 William May

    Bearish sentiment returns on weak economic data

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  92. Colombian budget proposals

    31 July 2019 Arthur Dhont

    2020 budget proposal indicates changing Colombian government priorities; cuts planned in agriculture, energy and mining, transport.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
  93. Capital Markets Weekly: Supply eases in week overshadowed by Federal Reserve and ECB meetings

    29 July 2019 Brian Lawson

    Despite pending key central bank meetings, Panama, Mexico, YPF Luz and various Italian borrowers benefited from receptive conditions

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  94. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for June

    29 July 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in June.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  95. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Prices remain on the fence awaiting 31st July

    29 July 2019 William May

    No real direction in materials prices despite dovish tones from the Fed

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  96. Sudan coup attempt

    19 July 2019 Jihane Boudiaf

    Sudanese coup attempt unlikely to have been at advanced stage, but likely stalling transition negotiations motivate protests

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  97. Capital Markets Weekly: Major share flotations pulled but wider equity indicators remain constructive

    19 July 2019 Brian Lawson

    AB Inbev withdrew the USD9.8 billion sale of its Asian unit, citing “market conditions”, despite US stock indices reaching all-time highs.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  98. South Africa nationalization risk

    18 July 2019 Langelihle Malimela

    Reappointment of South African central bank governor significantly lowers risk of nationalization and mandate revision

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  99. Mexico legal certainty

    17 July 2019

    Mexican government's renegotiation of gas pipeline contracts highlights broader decline in legal certainty across multiple sectors

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
  100. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities pause waiting for a rate cut

    17 July 2019 William May

    Prices retreat fractionally as markets enter a holding pattern in anticipation of the Fed’s next move.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  101. Why eurozone stubborn low inflation rate is a cause for concern

    16 July 2019 Ken Wattret

    Deflation worries would return if the economy were hit by a major adverse shock.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  102. Ethiopia plans a spending increase

    15 July 2019 Alisa Strobel

    Increase in spending as part of the new budget requires efforts to increase tax revenue as last year's tax revenue performance was below target....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  103. Incorporating country risk for effective investing

    15 July 2019 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Alexia Ash

    Case study on how to value country risks in Mozambique and Peru

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  104. Sudan seeks natural resource sharing

    12 July 2019 William Farmer

    Sudanese leader seeks union with South Sudan, probably to increase revenue share from natural resources

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  105. Capital Markets Weekly: Funding requests and politically-driven challenges for some markets

    12 July 2019 Brian Lawson

    Turkey’s central bank governor was fired abruptly while Mexico’s Finance Minister resigned, publicly criticizing the AMLO administration.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  106. New institutional cycle for the EU

    11 July 2019 Petya Barzilska Jan Gerhard

    Disagreement between the Council and Parliament over the nomination of new EU leaders indicates an increased likelihood of inter-institutional...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
  107. The Indian budget for 2019-2020

    10 July 2019 Deepa Kumar

    Indian budget focuses on tariff support for domestic manufacturing: wider economic liberalization in India likely to proceed gradually

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
    • Economic Risk
  108. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices jump in a narrow rally

    10 July 2019 William May

    Iron ore hits another 5-year high whilst US ethylene surges.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  109. Global IT services companies and their contribution to the US economy

    08 July 2019

    Insights from The National Association of Software Services Companies commissioned study on the impact their companies have on the US economy....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  110. New Danish center-left government

    03 July 2019 Dijedon Imeri

    New center-left Danish government to focus on increased social spending and cutting greenhouse gas emissions

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  111. Capital Markets Weekly: Bond market continues search for yield with new record yield lows

    03 July 2019 Brian Lawson

    European bond markets have reached new record lows, while tighter EM spreads have encouraged Turkey and Argentine corporates to issue

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  112. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities rise on US-China détente at G20

    03 July 2019 William May

    Easing tensions between US-China counter fears of economic weakness for now

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  113. Libya aviation and marine risks

    03 July 2019 Ludovico Carlino Ege Seckin

    Severe aviation and marine risks in western Libya as LNA threatens retaliation for Turkish support to GNA.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  114. Capital Markets Weekly: Markets continue seeking riskier and long-duration debt

    28 June 2019 Brian Lawson

    Emerging market and other higher-risk debt supply has continued unabated, including sales by YPF and subordinated Greek bank debt.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Market Analysis & Forecasts
    • Economic Data
  115. Houthi threat to shipping

    27 June 2019 Ludovico Carlino

    Houthi threat to target international shipping indicates growing marine risks in the southern Yemeni Red Sea

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  116. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for May

    26 June 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    Monthly US GDP Index Rose 0.2% in May 2019          

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  117. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity rebound continues even with fear over fundamentals

    26 June 2019 William May

    Geopolitics, supply issues and buoyed sentiment outweigh growth fears to lift commodity prices.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  118. Coup risks in Lesotho

    26 June 2019 Langelihle Malimela

    Expulsion of senior ruling party figures elevates coup risk in Lesotho

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  119. Haiti power vacuum

    25 June 2019 Carla Selman

    Haitian president’s mention in court corruption report raises ousting chances, power vacuum over coming months highly likely

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  120. Longest US expansion on record

    24 June 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Our Chief Economist, Nariman Behravesh, looks at whats driving the current economic expansion in the US

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  121. Casamance robbery risk

    21 June 2019 Martin Roberts

    Armed robbery risk rises in Casamance region of Senegal as peace negotiations with militant factions stall

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
  122. Balkans EU accession prospects

    20 June 2019 Petya Barzilska Dijedon Imeri

    EU's further postponement of accession negotiations with Albania, North Macedonia undermines judiciary, governance reforms, Western Balkans stability...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  123. Capital Markets Weekly: European markets rallying further in expectation of policy easing

    19 June 2019 Brian Lawson

    While this week’s supply has abated after last week’s rush, European bond markets have rallied sharply to new historic lows

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  124. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities prices rally after six-week rout

    19 June 2019 William May

    Large moves in iron ore, lumber and other key commodities turned commodity prices up last week.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  125. Cameroonian secessionist capability

    14 June 2019 William Farmer

    If secessionists' responsibility claim for Cameroonian refinery fire is legitimate, it would represent notable capability increase

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  126. Capital Markets Weekly: Falling bond rates drive impressive sovereign debt calendar

    14 June 2019 Brian Lawson

    Five sovereign borrowers - Croatia, Indonesia, Italy, Lithuania and Spain - have issued this week with Peru, Serbia and Ukraine pending.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  127. Swiss-EU relations

    14 June 2019 Jan Gerhard

    Delay to new framework agreement on Swiss-EU relations beyond October federal elections would risk causing disruption to trade.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  128. Two Koreas war risks

    13 June 2019

    Further cancellation of official meeting between two Koreas indicates even leadership-level summits unlikely to reduce war risks.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  129. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil suffers a rout as US pivots on new Mexican tariffs

    12 June 2019 William May

    Large oil inventory gain reinforces oversupply concerns in markets already suffering from poor demand outlook.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  130. Market Briefing: South African political and economic concerns

    11 June 2019 Thea Fourie Langelihle Malimela Brian Lawson

    Spend 30 minutes with our analysts to understand the political disagreement over RBSA's role and adverse economic developments

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  131. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade uncertainty piles on

    10 June 2019 Thomas McCartin

    New tariff threat on Mexican imports hurt the chance for the USMCA’s ratification.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  132. Global economic growth slips to three-year low amid gloomier outlook

    10 June 2019 Chris Williamson

    Global economic growth slips to three year low amid gloomier outlook

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

  133. Turkish military operation in Kurdish region of Iraq

    07 June 2019 Ege Seckin

    Turkish military operation in Iraq's Kurdish region against PKK unlikely to affect nearby cities or oil assets.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  134. Capital Markets Weekly: Equity markets enjoy revived supply

    07 June 2019 Brian Lawson

    Despite ongoing market volatility, plans for equity sales are reviving involving at least six significant transactions.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  135. Chilean lithium policy

    06 June 2019 Carla Selman

    Chilean government prepares national lithium policy, likely easing conditions for investment; opposition’s nationalization demands to delay implementation....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
  136. Contract risk and political transitions in Africa

    06 June 2019 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D. Natznet Tesfay, B.A., M.Sc. Martin Roberts Jordan Anderson Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Anna Boyd

    Local content, revenue mobilization and anti-corruption will continue to drive transitions and contract risk in Africa in the next 2 years.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  137. Kenya-Somalia boundary dispute

    05 June 2019 William Farmer

    Kenya's escalation of boundary dispute with Somalia increases likelihood of refugee returnees and travel disruption.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  138. Change in the rate call: FOMC on hold until 2020

    03 June 2019 Ken Matheny, Ph.D.

    We now expect the next adjustment to the Fed interest rate policy will occur mid-2020, later than our previous forecast of late-2019.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  139. Capital Markets Weekly: Zambia bond yields spike with future debt sustainability increasingly-reliant on IMF support

    03 June 2019 Brian Lawson

    Zambian bond yields spiked late last week to a 20 percent spread over US Treasuries, double their margin in early 2019.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  140. European Parliament election results

    31 May 2019 Jan Gerhard

    EU elections alter political power dynamics at expense of center-right and center-left, increasing dependency on varying coalitions.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  141. Capital Markets Weekly: Supply continuing but markets indicate greater caution

    31 May 2019 Brian Lawson

    During May, equity markets have reversed while bond risk spreads have widened.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  142. The Philippines enters a monetary easing cycle

    30 May 2019 Ling-Wei Chung

    Easing inflationary expectations and slower economic activities suggest the beginning of the Philippines’ monetary easing cycle.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  143. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for April

    30 May 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

     According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.2% in April.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  144. India election results

    30 May 2019 Deepa Kumar

    Majority win for Indian PM to permit strong central government, growth-boosting measures and flagship schemes to be prioritized.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  145. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities hit by trade again

    29 May 2019 William May

    Inventories and demand concerns resulted in Brent's worst week in 2019

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  146. Capital Markets Weekly: Green Bond and Emerging Market supply shrugs off trade uncertainty

    28 May 2019 Brian Lawson

    Six major green bond sales and five emerging market sovereign issues confirm continued risk appetite.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  147. Assessing the threat from ballooning debt

    28 May 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    The risk from government and nonfinancial corporate debt remains modest, however, if the global economy falters, or interest rates rise significantly...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  148. The Turkish lira is once again at risk of a crash

    24 May 2019 Andrew Birch

    The lira is on the precipice of a crisis, undermined by falling reserves and declining institutional integrity.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  149. Pakistan and IMF agree on USD6-billion loan after seven months of negotiations

    24 May 2019 Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch Asad Ali

    Pakistan secures additional financing from the IMF but risks or program slippages and loan disbursement delays are significant.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  150. Nigerian prospects for joining the AfCFTA

    23 May 2019 William Farmer

    Protectionists likely to stymie Nigeria's implementation of African Continental Free Trade Agreement even if government signs up

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
  151. Sri Lankan election preview

    22 May 2019 Asad Ali

    Change of Sri Lankan president likely in December 2019 election given adverse fallout from Easter attacks.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  152. Cristina Fernández de Kirchner announced her candidacy for vice-president in the Argentina election

    22 May 2019 Carla Selman

    Announced Kirchnerist ticket for Argentina’s elections appeals to moderate Peronists; divisions and rearrangement in ruling coalition likely....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  153. Australian election results

    21 May 2019 Alex Barnes

    Incumbent coalition's surprise victory in Australian election increases likelihood of SME tax cuts and new mining licenses.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  154. Global economic growth is firming, but the risk of a policy mistake has risen sharply

    21 May 2019 Sara L. Johnson, CBE Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Growing political and policy threats mean any rebound in global growth could be ephemeral.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  155. Market Briefing: Argentina, Brazil and Mexico under political pressure

    17 May 2019 Rafael Amiel, Ph.D. Carlos Caicedo Brian Lawson

    Spend 30 minutes with our analysts to understand whats happening in the three largest economies in Latin America

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  156. Uganda opposition co-operation agreement

    16 May 2019 Jordan Anderson

    Ugandan opposition co-operation agreement increases risk of disruptive protests, indicates growing likelihood of contested election in 2021.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  157. Capital Markets Weekly: US tariffs and Uber discount challenge equity appetite

    16 May 2019 Brian Lawson

    Emerging market debt remaining receptive; market sentiment to be tested by US-China trade dispute and soft initial Uber share price performance...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  158. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Negative sentiment increases as trade talks are derailed

    15 May 2019 William May

    Breakdown of trade negotiations pours cold water on commodity prices.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  159. Strong consumer optimism will help keep travelers on the move as tourism season kicks off

    15 May 2019 Shane Norton

    We expect travel to rise by 1.5 million from last year as 42.8 million travelers are expected to take to the rails, roads and skies during the...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Income Distribution
    • Consumer Spending
    • Economic Data
  160. Argentinean election uncertainty

    15 May 2019 Carlos Caicedo

    Argentine president’s plan of national unity rejected by opposition, election uncertainty continues to be key risk driver.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  161. Israel-Gaza ceasefire

    15 May 2019 Jack Kennedy

    Implementation of ceasefire conditions reduces immediate likelihood of resumed escalation between Israel and Gazan militant groups.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  162. Capital Markets Weekly: US tariff threat raises equity uncertainties; Hong Kong preparing Green Bond debut

    13 May 2019 Brian Lawson

    Threats of increased US tariffs on China, Hong Kong’s debut Green bond and long-dated Eurozone supply.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  163. US tourism poised to cool as global economy ebbs

    10 May 2019 James Bohnaker

    The decade-long spurt for US tourism is fizzling. Solid domestic demand being offset by fewer foreign arrivals, due to slowing global growth...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  164. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity markets turn down as data brings jitters

    09 May 2019 William May

    Mixed data drains optimism from commodities

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  165. The global monetary tightening cycle seems to be over—for now

    08 May 2019 Sara L. Johnson, CBE Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Global monetary policy actions and resulting economic impact around the world

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  166. Colombia and Malaysia forecasts take top honors for 2018

    08 May 2019

    Consensus Economics names S&P Global best forecasters for Colombia and Malaysia in 2018

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  167. Fiscal deficit for Lebanon

    07 May 2019

    Lebanon’s 2019 draft budget unlikely to reduce fiscal deficit significantly; recurring protests over public-sector cuts likely.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  168. South African election preview

    07 May 2019 Langelihle Malimela

    Ruling ANC divided ahead of pivotal South African election

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  169. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for March

    03 May 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    Monthly GDP Index rose 0.1% in March 2019      

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  170. Capital Markets Weekly: Multiple emerging-market sovereigns planning issuance

    03 May 2019 Brian Lawson

    This week’s headlines are about future supply, of which sovereign deals by Kenya and Oman represent important debt-sustainability tests.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Financial Risk Analytics
    • Economic Data
  171. Chad government destabilization

    02 May 2019

    Chadian crackdown on civil society and internet restrictions indicate president's insecurities but Sudan-style overthrow unlikely

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  172. Chilean arson attacks

    01 May 2019 Carla Selman

    Forestry contractors in Chile's Araucanía region are increasingly targets of arson attacks by Mapuche indigenous extremists.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
  173. Greek construction project delays

    30 April 2019 Petya Barzilska

    Archaeological, environmental concerns and local protests in Greece likely to impede construction projects ahead of elections.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  174. Bulgarian eurozone accession

    30 April 2019 Camille Chavrier

    Bulgaria’s supervisory framework is weaker than European Union’s standards, raising uncertainty over its near-term accession to the banking union...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  175. Capital Markets Weekly: Cyprus and Greece plan more debt sales and Italian problems resurface

    26 April 2019 Brian Lawson

    Cyprus and Greece plan early market refinancing of official “rescue” borrowings while Italy will badly miss its EU-agreed budget goals

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  176. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices drift higher

    24 April 2019 William May

    A broad but shallow rise indicates caution still

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  177. Capital Markets Weekly: Busy week for flotations, Chile plans Green Bond Debut

    18 April 2019 Brian Lawson

    IPO activity has been boosted by eight US flotations and sizeable deals from Swiss, Italian, Chinese and African issuers.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  178. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for February

    18 April 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP fell 0.5% in February.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  179. Albanian anti-government protests

    18 April 2019 Dijedon Imeri

    Anti-government protests in Albania pose property damage risks but unlikely to topple government.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  180. Impact of Venezuelan migrant flows on Colombia

    17 April 2019 Arthur Dhont

    Venezuelan migrant flows to Colombia to continue rising, increasing welfare outlays; risk of related protests remains moderate.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  181. Paris airports referendum

    16 April 2019 Kit Nicholl

    Proposed referendum on privatization of Paris airports unlikely to be replicated across other projects.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
  182. Cain and Moore announced as Fed candidates: Market reaction and economic impacts

    11 April 2019 Ken Matheny, Ph.D.

    The proposed nominations of Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

  183. Market Briefing: Bulgaria

    11 April 2019 Petya Barzilska Camille Chavrier Brian Lawson

    Spend 30 minutes with our experts and understand what's happening in Bulgaria

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

  184. Israeli elections

    11 April 2019 Jack A. Kennedy

    Outcome and implications from the election

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  185. Continued Brexit gridlock risks further damage to already difficult UK outlook

    11 April 2019 Raj Badiani

    Due to Brexit-related uncertainty, UK real GDP growth is projected to downshift-the risks remain overwhelmingly on the downside.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  186. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities rise as supply-side issues impact the market

    10 April 2019 William May

    Supply disruptions, geopolitical tension and positive economic data help to move commodities higher.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  187. Brazilian aviation investment

    09 April 2019 Carlos Caicedo

    Opening Brazilian airline industry to foreign investment highly likely as Lower House approves government-sponsored bill.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  188. India insolvency regime outlook

    05 April 2019 Deepa Kumar

    Indian Supreme Court ruling against RBI will weaken insolvency regime, potentially increasing government interference in corporate resolution....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Taxation Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Economic Risk
  189. Brazil royalty and tax collection

    04 April 2019 Carlos Caicedo

    Aftermath of mining disaster in Brazil's Minas Gerais impairs royalties and tax collection, non-payment risk rises.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
  190. European Parliament copyright directive

    03 April 2019 Petya Barzilska

    European Parliament passes copyright directive; increased regulatory burden for online platforms mitigated by implementation delays and low enforceability....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
  191. Trade-related disruptions at US-Mexico border

    03 April 2019 Carlos Cardenas

    Mexico unlikely to control migration flows into the US, increasing risk of trade-related disruptions at US-Mexico border.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Operational Risk
  192. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Soft economic data leads commodity prices lower

    03 April 2019

    A struggling manufacturing sector continues to present a challenge for commodity markets

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  193. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for January

    02 April 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.7% in January.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  194. Structural progress supports impressive Georgian 2018 growth

    02 April 2019 Venla Sipilä-Rosen

    Strong domestic credit growth and solid export revenue inflows secured remarkably strong economic expansion in Georgia 2018, but some weakening...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  195. Afghanistan election postponement

    29 March 2019 Asad Ali

    Presidential-election delay raises risk of violent protests in Kabul and northern Afghanistan; interim government increasingly likely.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  196. Capital Markets Weekly: Negative-yielding bonds grow over 75% since early 2018

    29 March 2019 Brian Lawson

    Over USD10 trillion of debt now provides negative yields, versus USD5.7 billion early in 2018

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  197. Colombia drug-related violence

    28 March 2019 Arthur Dhont

    Rising rates of drug-related violence in Colombia’s Medellín heighten collateral injury risks to bystanders.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  198. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Production cuts continue to lift oil prices

    27 March 2019 William May

    Oil and chemicals prices dominate otherwise calm markets.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  199. Ukrainian election outlook

    27 March 2019 Alex Kokcharov

    Ukraine’s presidential election very likely to see split vote leading to second round; conflicting policy announcements likely.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  200. Argentina is struggling to avoid a deeper recession

    25 March 2019 Paula Diosquez-Rice

    Volatility returned to the currency market driven by the elevated inflation rate and the failed attempt to reduce the extreme monetary policy...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Data
  201. Capital Markets Weekly: Bond markets indicate exceptionally strong primary risk appetite

    22 March 2019 Brian Lawson

    This week’s bond issuance is exceptional, with five emerging market sovereign deals and four bank AT1 perpetuals. 

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  202. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil gets a boost from cuts but most commodity prices stay flat

    20 March 2019 William May

    Fundamentals rather than politics play on most commodities.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Economics
  203. Gambian cabinet instability

    20 March 2019 Martin Roberts

    Gambian president sacks deputy, two senior ministers but presence of regional peacekeeping force mitigates civil war risk.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  204. Argentine presidential election preview

    19 March 2019 Carla Selman

    Renewed social programs funding to help contain protest risks, but unlikely to improve Argentine president’s re-election prospects

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  205. The geography of labor cost increases in Mexico

    19 March 2019 Emily Crowley

    Understand the impact of wage policy on price increases in 2019

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Economic Data
  206. The impact of protectionism tariffs

    18 March 2019

    The Trump Administration’s tariffs on US imports of iron, steel, and other metals, plus additional tariffs on goods from China, will dampen both...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  207. Capital Markets Weekly: Petrobras and Cemex reopen Latin American market, Benin plans debut

    15 March 2019 Brian Lawson

    Petrobras revives Latin American bond supply with USD3 billion long-dated success

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  208. Papua terrorism risk

    14 March 2019 Matthew Henman Deepa Kumar

    Ambush underlines growing tempo of separatist violence in Indonesia’s Papua; threat remains limited in scope and capability.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
  209. Weekly Pricing Pulse: More bearish macro data proves too much for commodity prices

    13 March 2019 William May

    US jobs data and Chinese exports helped to weigh on global markets and sentiment

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  210. Islamic State foreign fighter repatriation

    13 March 2019 Kit Nicholl

    Likely ad-hoc repatriation of Islamic State foreign fighters would strengthen jihadist networks in Europe.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
  211. Capital Markets Weekly: Short covering likely driver of equity rally

    08 March 2019 Brian Lawson

    Despite equity market strength, developed market equity funds show ongoing outflows

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  212. Senegalese presidential election outcome

    06 March 2019 Martin Roberts

    Incumbent's clear first-round victory in Senegalese presidential election reduces protest risk and boosts further infrastructure expansion.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  213. Brazilian iron ore mine disaster

    06 March 2019 William May John Anton

    What does the Vale mine disaster mean for steel buyers?

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  214. Nicaragua options shrink to address economic and political woes

    01 March 2019 Cristina Arbelaez Kari Pries

    Despite the worsening economic and political outlook Nicaragua’s President Ortega is likely to remain in power until the next presidential elections...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  215. Moldovan parliamentary election

    28 February 2019 Alex Kokcharov

    Moldova’s parliamentary vote outcome indicates likelihood of a minority government or a new election.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  216. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for December

    27 February 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.2% in December.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  217. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for November

    27 February 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.1% in November.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  218. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Cross currents keep commodity prices flat

    27 February 2019 Thomas McCartin William May

    Positive sentiment offsets weak data keeping commodity prices relatively flat

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  219. India-Pakistan conflict update

    26 February 2019 Deepa Kumar Asad Ali

    Indian airstrike in Pakistani territory increases risk of unintended military escalation, but full military confrontation unlikely

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  220. Sudanese government reshuffle

    26 February 2019 Jihane Boudiaf

    Sudanese president's cabinet, governor reshuffle indicates shrinking support base, aimed at ensuring military's loyalty amid ongoing protests....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  221. ISMA-OSAC Latin America Regional Conference March 2019

    26 February 2019 Carlos Caicedo

    Latin American risks presentation at the March ISMA-OSAC conference

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  222. Capital Markets Weekly: Long-dated successes for Cyprus, Egypt and France highlight strong duration-based demand

    24 February 2019 Brian Lawson

    Three successful sovereign sales, further AT1 supply and corporate issuance all indicate strong demand for longer-duration debt

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  223. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Weak macro-data takes the wind out of commodity prices

    20 February 2019 William May

    Commodity prices retreated on disappointing macroeconomic data in light trading.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  224. Amazon says no to New York

    15 February 2019 Tom Jackson

     Due to local opposition, Amazon has decided not to pursue the New York City portion of its “HQ2” project.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  225. Capital Markets Weekly: Contingent capital faces reassessment after Santander AT1 call unexercized

    15 February 2019 Brian Lawson

    Santander’s high-profile decision was based on balancing between shareholder and bondholder interests.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  226. Ethiopia mining regulatory review

    15 February 2019 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Ethiopia's proposed mining law changes indicate more competitive tax regime but cancellation of underperforming exploration contracts likely....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Government Policy & Regulations
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  227. Kosovo-Serbia negotiation process

    14 February 2019 Dijedon Imeri

    Statement on Trepça mining complex indicates renewed EU, international drive for comprehensive relationship agreement between Kosovo and Serbia....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  228. Weekly Pricing Pulse: MPI surges as iron ore disruption bites

    13 February 2019 William May

    Vale dam accident sends iron ore market running scared as prices test $90 /t level.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  229. Brazil pension reform

    13 February 2019 Carlos Caicedo

    Pro-government leaders to head Brazilian Congress; fractured legislature and resistance to austerity likely to dilute pension reform.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  230. Capital Markets Weekly: Bond markets and equity issuance

    08 February 2019

    While bond markets continue looking receptive and the US IPO calendar is reviving, the latest EU PMIs point to tougher equity conditions

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  231. Islamic State to retain attack capability in Syria beyond loss of 'Caliphate'

    07 February 2019 Columb Strack

    The Islamic State’s territorial control has shrunk to a hand-full of small villages in the desert of eastern Syria, about 50 km2. We expect these...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
  232. Is the eurozone heading for a recession?

    07 February 2019 Ken Wattret

    Although it is not our base case, we assess the risk of a “technical” recession at around one in three. A severe recession remains unlikely...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  233. Will market volatility in Romania spill into real economy?

    06 February 2019 Vaiva Seckute

    Tools to raise additional budget revenues spooked the financial markets in Romania. A deeper dive into the Romanian economy shows that those...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  234. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices edge up in a volatile week

    06 February 2019 William May

    Better sentiment carried prices higher though markets showed significant volatility.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  235. Argentina election preview

    06 February 2019 Carla Selman

    Moderate Peronist faction to challenge Argentine president’s re-election, but likely to maintain pro-business agenda and IMF deal.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  236. A Davos 2019 debrief

    05 February 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Compared with the euphoric mood in Davos 2018, this year the delegates were more subdued and wary.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  237. Capital Markets Weekly: Greek post-rescue success, jumbo BoC perpetual stand out in receptive markets

    01 February 2019

    Greece’s EUR2.5 billion deal came alongside three other European SSA successes, gaining demand of EUR82 billion for EUR17.5 billion supply.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  238. Philippines security risks

    31 January 2019 Alex Barnes

    Overwhelming vote for autonomy in Mindanao signals eventual MILF demobilization, security stabilization.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  239. Market Briefing: Nicaragua

    30 January 2019 Cristina Arbelaez Brian Lawson

    Take 30 minutes with our experts and understand what's happening in Nicaragua

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  240. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The January recovery continues

    30 January 2019 William May

    Geopolitics, fundamentals and sentiment all played a part in limiting commodity markets last week.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  241. Capital Markets Weekly: Markets further indicate recovery in risk appetite

    28 January 2019 Brian Lawson

    Developments in both debt and equity markets almost entirely represent positive indicators, with demand extending to higher-risk perpetual debt....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  242. Upcoming Indonesian presidential election

    25 January 2019 Deepa Kumar

     Indonesia's 2019 presidential election likely getting tighter; policy continuity expected

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  243. Venezuela mutiny and anti-government protests

    24 January 2019 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB Carlos Cardenas

    Further rank-and-file mutinies likely in Venezuela alongside anti-government protests in traditionally pro-government shanty towns.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  244. Islamic State in Libya

    23 January 2019 Ludovico Carlino

    Revived Islamic State likely to mount raids into Libya’s Tripolitania and Cyrenaica from bases in southern desert .

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  245. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices tick quietly up

    23 January 2019 William May

    Rumors from US-China trade negotiations hint at an easing trade war and improved sentiment

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  246. Pakistan terrorism activity update

    22 January 2019 Asad Ali

    Pakistani separatist groups likely to be increasingly active despite sustained decline in nationwide NSAG attacks since 2014 .

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
  247. Policies of expropriation and prescribed assets in South Africa

    18 January 2019 Thea Fourie

    Longer-term growth prospects appear less upbeat as the South African government pursues more aggressive redistribution policies

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  248. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The New Year starts well but for how long?

    17 January 2019 William May

    Optimism around US-China trade talks and a jump in oil send commodity prices higher

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  249. Brexit update after parliamentary defeat

    17 January 2019 Jan Gerhard

    UK government's parliamentary defeat on deal with EU increases probability of delay to Brexit beyond March.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  250. The global economy: Rising recession risks

    17 January 2019 Sara L. Johnson, CBE Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Policy mistakes, especially regarding trade, continue to be the biggest threats to global growth

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  251. Brexit update: Economic and political implications

    16 January 2019 Raj Badiani

    Analysis on the political and economic implications of the rejection of the proposed Brexit deal

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  252. Syrian aviation risk

    15 January 2019 Columb Strack

    Despite security improvements, residual elevated risk of collateral damage at Damascus Airport, mainly from Israeli airstrikes.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  253. Zambian mineral royalties increase

    11 January 2019 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D.

    Increased Zambian minerals royalties indicate government focus on natural resource sector to boost fiscal revenues, anti-government protests...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  254. Capital Markets Weekly: Debt markets make promising start to 2019, but uncertainties remain

    11 January 2019 Brian Lawson

    In 2019’s first full week’s trading, diverse emerging market sales and heavy European sovereign supply dominated primary activity.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  255. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices rise – but volatility remains

    10 January 2019 William May

    Oil prices bounce in an oversold market, lifting the S&P Global Materials Price Index.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  256. The partial federal government shutdown and the January employment report

    10 January 2019 Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    The unemployment rate could be boosted by as much as 0.2 percentage point and payroll employment could be reduced by as much as 380,000.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  257. Panama upcoming elections

    10 January 2019

    Policy paralysis likely in run-up to Panama's May presidential election; pro-business frontrunners will promote FDI.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  258. Serbian anti-government protests

    09 January 2019 Dijedon Imeri

    Anti-government protests increase risk of snap election but unlikely to produce change in Serbian government.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  259. Capital Markets Weekly: Chinese and EU PMIs indicate economic slowdown threatening equity market recovery

    04 January 2019 Brian Lawson

    Weak PMIs have indicated manufacturing-sector slowdown in both China and the EU, hindering equity market recovery.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  260. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Massive volatility in global markets spills into commodities again

    03 January 2019 William May

    Oil keeps the commodities rout going in an otherwise directionless market

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  261. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Market jitters send commodity prices lower

    27 December 2018 William May

    Higher US interest rates and turmoil in Washington kept stock markets uneasy and sent commodity prices lower last week.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  262. Capital inflows have returned to Turkey, but remain precarious

    27 December 2018 Andrew Birch

    Net portfolio investment inflows have returned, but will remain precarious through 2019. External financing remains a challenge. 

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Market Analysis & Forecasts
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  263. Capital Markets Weekly: Mexico City airport-bond restructuring potentially unresolved despite favorable tender

    21 December 2018 Brian Lawson

    Despite a favorable bondholder tender, uncertainties remain over USD6 billion of MexCAT project bonds. Venezuela faces initial acceleration push...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  264. Brexit and the economic consequences

    21 December 2018 Raj Badiani

     An S&P Global scenario predicts that the economic consequences of a no-deal Brexit would be damaging.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  265. Kosovo steps up its struggle for international recognition

    20 December 2018

    Kosovo’s government has decided to use extreme economic measures to direct world’s attention to its political grievances.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Risk
  266. Implications of recent BJP losses in Indian state elections

    20 December 2018 Deepa Kumar

    BJP loses three Indian state elections; increased support for agriculture and MSMEs, greater RBI policy alignment likely.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  267. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Little Christmas cheer in commodities

    20 December 2018 William May

    Continued softness in commodity prices illustrates demand concerns.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  268. New Brazilian cabinet

    19 December 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Growing military influence in Brazil's new government, but support for privatization likely on selective target non-strategic assets.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  269. Demographics in Baltics make long-term consumer spending prospects bleaker

    17 December 2018 Vaiva Seckute

    Prospects are bright for now but negative effects of high emigration and low fertility rates will weigh on growth especially in Latvia and Lithuania....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Consumer Spending
    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Risk
  270. Capital Markets Weekly: Softbank achieves IPO success but year-end is approaching fast

    14 December 2018 Brian Lawson

    Unsurprisingly, this week’s calendar is seasonally light.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  271. Panamanian death and injury risks

    14 December 2018

    Death and injury, armed robbery risks increase in Panama's Colón province, despite police anti-gang operations.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
  272. Zambian president authorized to seek third term

    14 December 2018 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D. Thea Fourie

    Zambian Constitutional Court ruling permits president to seek additional term amid ruling-party splits, non-payment risks likely.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  273. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil settles but can’t reverse the trend

    13 December 2018 William May

    Oil bounces on OPEC supply agreement but recent momentum and trade tensions still take commodity prices lower.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  274. Top 10 economic predictions for 2019

    13 December 2018 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    These top 10 economic risks, combined with heightened political uncertainty in many parts of the world, point to the increased vulnerability...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  275. Peruvian operational challenges

    12 December 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Petroperú oil spills underline security and operational shortcomings amid local opposition in Peru.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  276. Spanish regional elections

    07 December 2018 Laurence Allan, Ph.D.

    Regional election results in Andalucía likely to confirm challenges to Spain's main parties in 2019

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  277. Capital Markets Weekly: Peru and Indonesia lead limited issuance, US corporate issuance indicates adverse market trends

    07 December 2018

    High yield and non-callable fixed rate corporate debt have declined most

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  278. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Another week of pain in commodity markets ends on a high

    06 December 2018 William May

    After declining for most of the week, markets rally as positive headlines flow from the G20 summit

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  279. Liberian mining risks

    05 December 2018

    Vote against mining company highlights strained economy, increasing arbitrary business demands, and violent protest risks in Liberia.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  280. Haiti corruption and protest risks

    30 November 2018 Carla Selman

    Haiti's opposition-promoted protests increase chances of government change over coming year; delays to legislative elections likely

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  281. Mexican mining draft law

    30 November 2018 Carlos Cardenas

    Mexican mining draft law to increase environmental, social impact oversight over sector, but approval unlikely in 2018

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  282. Capital Markets Weekly: Russian Euro-denominated sale, bank secularization plans and financings prominent in quieter week

    30 November 2018 Brian Lawson

    Issuing banks have sold TLAC/MREL eligible and subordinated deals

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  283. Ethiopia anti-corruption arrests

    30 November 2018 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Anti-corruption arrests indicate diminishing resistance within ruling party to reducing economic influence of Ethiopian state-directed, -owned...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  284. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil suffers another rout

    29 November 2018 William May

    Demand concerns meant another bruising week for oil, with the MPI dropping again.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  285. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for October

    28 November 2018 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.3% in October.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  286. Holiday sales to bring plenty of cheer to US retailers this year

    27 November 2018 James Bohnaker

    A roaring job market is the gift that keeps on giving in 2018.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  287. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Brexit joins the geopolitical maelstrom helping to take commodities lower

    22 November 2018 William May

    A number of bearish signals drove a broad-based decline in the MPI last week

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  288. Indian government involvement in banking policy

    21 November 2018 Deepa Kumar

    Reserve Bank of India meeting signals increased executive scrutiny of central bank policy, interference in other independent institutions likely....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  289. One-off factors lead to negative German GDP growth in Q3 2018

    20 November 2018 Timo Klein

    Temporary factors were responsible for much of the latest economic downturn

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  290. Libyan peace process prospects

    20 November 2018 Ludovico Carlino

    Revised UN plan for Libya unlikely to facilitate east-west rapprochement, maintaining the current status quo.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  291. Croatia approaches the Schengen area

    19 November 2018 Kit Nicholl Andrew Birch

    Croatia is nearing Schengen membership, benefiting EU ties while hardening the borders with its southeastern neighbors.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  292. Thanksgiving turkey price forecast

    16 November 2018 David Deull

    Healthy supply to take a bite out of turkey prices

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Income Distribution
    • Consumer Spending
    • Economic Data
  293. Bougainville independence referendum

    16 November 2018 Alex Barnes

    Bougainville mid-2019 independence referendum in Papua New Guinea to delay mining development, raise likelihood of landowner attacks

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  294. Brexit update

    16 November 2018 Jan Gerhard

    Formal UK cabinet backing for draft EU Withdrawal Bill represents weak indicator of final parliamentary approval

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  295. Capital Markets Weekly: Successful Emerging Market primary transactions indicate improved stability

    16 November 2018 Brian Lawson

    Bond successes for Nigeria, Indonesia’s Italum and Gazprom and NLB/Kazatomprom equity opening premiums indicate stabilized primary markets

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  296. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices continue their fourth quarter slide

    15 November 2018 William May

    US mid-term election results lift sentiment before trade concerns drain the cheer again

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  297. Israel-Hamas ceasefire

    15 November 2018 Jack A. Kennedy

    Gaza ceasefire to hold but accelerate Israeli cabinet divisions and sustain high risk of renewed conflict.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  298. Mexico banking sector risk

    14 November 2018 Carlos Cardenas

    Disagreement between Mexican president-elect and his party to delay control of banking fees, regulatory changes still likely

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  299. Amazon HQ2 search ends in a split decision

    13 November 2018 Tom Jackson

    Amazon announced that its new second headquarters will be divided among locations in the New York City and Washington, DC, metro areas.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
  300. Peru: On the ground political and violent risk assessment

    13 November 2018 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB Brian Lawson

    Despite political noise and adverse recent headlines our view of Peru continues to be positive

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk

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