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  1. Capital Markets Weekly: Turkey revives adverse market focus increasing country-specific risks

    26 March 2021 Brian Lawson

    Turkey suffered adverse focus after another rapid change in its central bank leadership but emerging market supply proved resilient.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Capital markets
  2. The geopolitical implications of vaccine rollout programs across Latin America

    25 March 2021 Rafael Amiel, Ph.D. Kari Pries, Ph.D. Johanna Marris Ewa Oliveira da Silva Carlos Caicedo Carla Selman

    Vaccine access will be limited in Latin America by reliance on external sources

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Supply Chain Risk
    • Disease Management & Prevention
    • Country risk
    • Coronavirus
  3. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil reverses on new lockdowns in Europe

    24 March 2021 Thomas McCartin

    Renewed COVID-19 containment measures in Europe have pared back expectations for oil demand, bringing both oil and chemicals prices down.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Supply Chain Risk
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  4. Central Europe's consumer recovery from COVID-19 pandemic

    24 March 2021 Yacine Rouimi Sharon Fisher

    Household consumption in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) is projected to recover in 2021, but different patterns will emerge by country, sector...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
    • Coronavirus
  5. The geopolitical implications of vaccine rollout programs across Sub-Saharan Africa

    23 March 2021 William Farmer Theo Acheampong, Ph.D. Sacha Baggili Natznet Tesfay Langelihle Malimela

    Economic disruption is the most acute impact of the COVID-19 pandemic across sub-Saharan Africa

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Disease Management & Prevention
    • Country risk
    • Coronavirus
  6. Global economic outlook: Will faster economic growth bring higher price inflation?

    22 March 2021 Sara Johnson

    Global real GDP expected to advance 5.1% in 2021, with global output hitting a new peak by Q3

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
  7. Is the eurozone at risk from another sovereign debt crisis?

    19 March 2021 Ken Wattret

    While the situation in the Eurozone is different in many respects from the prior crisis in 2011-12, there are some significant vulnerabilities...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Sovereign Risk
    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
  8. Capital Markets Weekly: France syndicates Green Bond successfully and wider supply strengthens after FOMC

    19 March 2021 Brian Lawson

    This week’s highlights include France’s second Green Bond and a 30-year sale by Greece: sentiment improved after FOMC and last week’s ECB statement....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Capital markets
  9. The geopolitical implications of vaccine rollout programs across Europe

    18 March 2021 Petya Barzilska Janet Beal Jan Gerhard Ewa Oliveira da Silva Eoin Ryan Dijedon Imeri Brendan Melck Blanka Kolenikova Bibianna Norek

    The EU’s centralised approach raises supply delays but aids internal cohesion

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Supply Chain Risk
    • Disease Management & Prevention
    • Country risk
    • Country Intelligence
    • Coronavirus
  10. Algeria's banking risk rating: Very High Risk

    18 March 2021 Gabrielle Ventura

    S&P Global launches Algeria's banking risk rating at Very High Risk because of related-party lending, moderate liquidity risks

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Sovereign Risk
    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Banking Risk
  11. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil breaks $70 and fuels another round of commodity price increase

    17 March 2021 Michael Dall

    Geopolitical tensions in the Gulf and optimism over demand growth drive oil prices higher but calmer metals markets provide some offset

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Supply Chain Risk
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  12. Canadian merchandise trade surprises with a surplus in January

    17 March 2021 Evan Andrade

    Despite re-imposed regional restrictions, Canada’s January merchandise trade balance registered a substantial surplus as exports to the US surged....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
  13. The geopolitical implications of vaccine rollout programs across MENA

    16 March 2021 Zaineb Al Assam Sacha Baggili Mr. Ludovico Carlino Kevjn Lim Jihane Boudiaf Jack A. Kennedy Firas Modad Emre Caliskan

    MENA’s post-COVID-19 recovery likely to accelerate and deepen existing economic inequalities across region

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Supply Chain Logistics
    • Disease Management & Prevention
    • Country risk
    • Country Intelligence
    • Coronavirus
  14. The G20’s Common Framework

    16 March 2021 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    The key concern for eligible countries is whether the Common Framework will restrict access to borrowing in commercial markets or raise debt...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Sovereign Risk
    • Emerging Markets
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
    • Banking Risk
  15. Commodity price watch

    15 March 2021 John Mothersole

    Surging commodity prices and crisis in supply chains to lead to burst in goods prices this summer

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Supply Chain Risk
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  16. Capital Markets Weekly: Mixed signals against background of US volatility

    12 March 2021 Brian Lawson

    Markets are remaining volatile, but several major debt and equity offerings have been well-received.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Capital markets
  17. The geopolitical implications of vaccine rollout programs across Asia-Pacific

    11 March 2021 Sophie Cairns Sacha Baggili Hannah Cotillon Deepa Kumar David Li Bree Neff Asad Ali Anton Alifandi

    China and India will leverage “vaccine diplomacy” as they roll out the Covid-19 vaccine

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Supply Chain Risk
    • Disease Management & Prevention
    • Country risk
    • Country Intelligence
    • Coronavirus
  18. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Supply challenges continue to support commodity price increases

    09 March 2021 Michael Dall

    Logistics issues in steel markets and longstanding shortages of microchips combined to send the MPI higher last week

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  19. Terrorism in the Philippines: Examining the data and what to expect in the coming years

    09 March 2021 Anton Alifandi

    Leveraging metadata applied to hundreds of security incidents captured in the Philippines we provide a more nuanced understanding of security...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Violence
    • Political Risk
    • Country risk
  20. Geopolitics of COVID-19 Vaccine Campaigns: Shared challenges

    09 March 2021 Lindsay Newman, Ph.D.

    Peeling back the clinical news and announced APAs, we analyze the global operational, security and political constraints governments are likely...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Government Policy & Regulations
    • Disease Management & Prevention
    • Country risk
    • Coronavirus
  21. The EU’s centralized approach raises supply delays but aids internal cohesion

    08 March 2021 Petya Barzilska Janet Beal Jan Gerhard Ewa Oliveira da Silva Eoin Ryan Dijedon Imeri Brendan Melck Blanka Kolenikova Bibianna Norek

    Our Country Risk team assesses the risks and implications of the vaccine rollout in the European Union.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Disease Management & Prevention
    • Country risk
    • Country Intelligence
    • Coronavirus
  22. Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia

    05 March 2021 Jack A. Kennedy

    Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia likely to increase in range, targeting strategic infrastructure, entertainment, other Gulf states

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Violence
    • Country risk
  23. Capital Markets Weekly: Debt issuance responding positively to perceived central bank support

    04 March 2021 Brian Lawson

    Bond market demand has revived: four emerging market sovereign bond sales were sold successfully in the last week alongside Italy’s Green Bond...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Capital markets
  24. Banking risk monthly outlook: March 2021

    04 March 2021 Natasha McSwiggan

    Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in March

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Banking Risk
  25. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Supply bottlenecks send prices higher once more

    03 March 2021 Michael Dall

    The aftermath of Storm Uri in the United States causes supply chain disruptions and another week of commodity price increases

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  26. Turkish central bank will maintain tight monetary policy in 2021

    02 March 2021 Andrew Birch

    Despite concerns that a failure to raise the interest rate in February signals otherwise, monetary policy will remain defensive throughout 2021....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Monetary Policy
    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
  27. US Monthly GDP Index for January 2021

    01 March 2021 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 1.4% in January.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
  28. Setback from COVID-19 on Thailand's economy

    25 February 2021 Jola Pasku

    Thailand’s economy suffers huge setback from COVID-19 in 2020, weakness likely to extend into 2021.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
    • Coronavirus
  29. Capital Markets Weekly: Supply lightens after recent yield reversal without indicating major market dislocation

    25 February 2021 Brian Lawson

    Supply has been light this week, amidst focus on recent bond market price reversals, but Saudi Arabia achieved its first negative-yield issuance....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Capital markets
  30. Canadian inflation jumps in January despite lockdown restrictions

    24 February 2021 Arlene Kish, M.A.

    Inflation pressures are gaining momentum with year-ago gasoline price jumps.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
    • Consumer Spending
  31. Country Risk Premiums Quarterly: Q1 2021

    24 February 2021 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Our Country Risk Premium’s (CRP) reduced on average across all sectors this quarter, with the decline in potential losses being greatest in the...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Risk ratings
    • Economic Risk
    • Country risk
  32. Arrest of suspected Islamists in eastern Senegal

    24 February 2021 Martin Roberts

    Arrest of suspected Islamists in eastern Senegal indicates increasing border insecurity, intention to stage Dakar IED attacks

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Violence
    • Country risk
  33. Civil unrest correlations

    24 February 2021 Zaineb al-Assam Jordan Anderson Dr. Marie Lechler Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Carla Selman Asad Ali

    Civil unrest in the coming years will be driven by a range of issues, including livelihood grievances if governments struggle to steer their...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Risk ratings
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Country risk
  34. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Supply problems send commodities higher

    23 February 2021 Michael Dall

    A winter cold snap in the US and the return of Chinese buyers boost commodity prices

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Supply Chain Risk
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  35. What can we expect from the new Libyan executive?

    23 February 2021 Mr. Ludovico Carlino

    New Libyan executive likely to perpetuate factionalism, rather than achieve unity, remaining hostage to rival militias

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Violence
    • Political Risk
    • Country risk
  36. Reality check for eurozone growth expectations

    22 February 2021 Ken Wattret

    The q/q growth rate for the Eurozone will jump in mid-2021 but only after a weak start to the year.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
  37. US to end support for Saudi offensive operations in the war in Yemen

    22 February 2021 Mr. Ludovico Carlino

    US withdrawing support for Saudi-led offensive operations in Yemen unlikely to improve prospects for truce

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Country risk
  38. Capital Markets Weekly: Italian syndication revives focus on price sensitivity, but demand remains strong

    19 February 2021 Brian Lawson

    In a quieter week with the Chinese New Year and US Presidents’ Day holidays, a large Italian syndication attracted critical focus after tightening...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Capital markets
    • Banking Risk
  39. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Risk-on optimism fuels markets

    16 February 2021 Michael Dall

    As commodity prices rebound, is this the start of a more protracted bout of higher prices and the beginning of a new supercycle?

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  40. Living up to the Paris Agreement

    16 February 2021 Bibianna Norek

    The French government’s proposed climate and resilience bill would affect automotive, aviation, and mining sectors

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
    • Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG)
    • Environmental Policy
  41. State tax revenue rebounds in third quarter

    12 February 2021 Fran Hagarty

    State tax collections fell more than 7% during the first six months of the pandemic compared to the same period in 2019, with North Dakota, Connecticut...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Regional, state and metro-level economic forecasts
    • Coronavirus
  42. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices drop for third week in a row

    10 February 2021 Michael Dall

    Despite the successive declines, the MPI remains at its highest point since May 2014 and still stands 48% higher than early February 2020.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Metal Markets
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  43. COVID-19’s legacy of high public debt in Europe: Prospects and problems

    09 February 2021 Mr. Daniel Kral, M.A.

    Lowering high public sector debt-to-GDP ratios will be challenging for many European economies, exacerbated by structural impediments to future...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
  44. Capital Markets Weekly: Tunisia tests market risk appetite

    05 February 2021 Brian Lawson

    This week’s highlight is the announcement that debt-stressed Tunisia is planning to seek sizeable US dollar denominated issuance, although its...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Capacity data
  45. Multi-speed COVID-19 vaccine rollouts likely to drive greater divergence in eurozone economic activity

    04 February 2021 Eoin Ryan Diego Iscaro

    Developments related to the COVID-19 virus pandemic will continue to be a key driver of the eurozone’s economic performance in 2021.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Healthcare Forecasting Models
    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Disease Management & Prevention
  46. Banking risk monthly outlook:February 2021

    04 February 2021 Natasha McSwiggan

    Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in February.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Banking Risk
  47. Mounting cost pressures for commodities to drive goods price inflation in next six months

    03 February 2021 John Mothersole

    Commodity prices may see modest corrections by spring or summer

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  48. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices fall once more

    02 February 2021 Michael Dall

    Worries over the COVID-19 vaccine rollouts and volatility in equity markets causes commodity markets to pull back

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  49. China’s consumer market recovery under the Covid-19 pandemic

    02 February 2021 Todd Lee, Ph.D.

    Our Chief China Economist looks at the rebound of China's consumer market and what it means for economic recovery.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
  50. US Monthly GDP Index for December 2020

    01 February 2021 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP was essentially flat in December.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
  51. Eco-trade wars: Will they save the rainforest?

    01 February 2021 Bibianna Norek Ailsa Rosales

    France’s president seeks to curtail Brazilian soy imports, highlighting growing reputational risks for importers of agricultural products

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Supply Chain Risk
    • ESG Investing
    • Economic Risk
  52. Capital Markets Weekly: SPAC IPO sales set record pace but indicate financial overheating risk

    27 January 2021 Brian Lawson

    A record 67 special purpose acquisition company IPOs were completed by 21 January.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Capital markets
    • Banking Risk
  53. Eurozone—From deflation to reflation risk?

    27 January 2021 Ken Wattret

    With the eurozone heading for a second COVID-19-driven recession, talk of reflationary pressures looks rather premature.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
  54. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices drop for a change

    27 January 2021 Michael Dall

    After 10 weeks of rising prices, commodity markets dipped last week. Is it merely a blip?

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Commodities
  55. How much did the winners in the US-China trade war win?

    26 January 2021 Yacine Rouimi

    Southeast Asian economies emerged as beneficiaries of Section 301. Our researchers look at the actual impact

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Trade Policy
    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
  56. The global economic recovery disrupted

    22 January 2021 Sara Johnson

    Global real GDP projected to surpass late -2019 pre-pandemic peak in Q3 2021 – S&P Global January 2021 Global Economic Outlook 

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Country Intelligence
  57. Sub Saharan Africa supply chain opportunities

    22 January 2021 Thea Fourie Alisa Strobel

    We assess supply-chain diversification opportunities in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) under the Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA).

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Trade Policy
    • Trade Data
    • Supply Chain Risk
    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
  58. Chile’s green hydrogen strategy

    22 January 2021 Carla Selman

    A look at the risks and opportunities associated with the initiatives that could make Chile a leading participant in future hydrogen-based economic...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Hydrogen
    • ESG Investing
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
  59. Capital Markets Weekly: Emerging market and long-duration issuance reinforces market receptivity

    21 January 2021 Brian Lawson

    We see positive indicators of improving issuance conditions for emerging market borrowers

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
    • Capital markets
  60. Canadian housing starts soften in December

    21 January 2021 Arlene Kish, M.A.

    Canadian housing starts were lower in December, however this announcement will not make a permanent dent on robust housing demand.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Housing Markets
    • Economic forecasts and analysis
    • Economic Data
  61. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Energy prices fire up commodity prices

    20 January 2021 Michael Dall

    Record LNG prices cause frantic trading in energy markets

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Steel Markets
    • Metal Markets
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  62. Did the US section 301 tariffs work?

    19 January 2021 Yacine Rouimi

    Section 301 tariffs caused trade disruptions when implemented in 2017. As we pass the one-year mark of the Phase One agreement our analysts provide...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Trade Policy
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic forecasts and analysis
  63. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Here we go again

    13 January 2021 Michael Dall

    First full week of trading in the new year sees commodity prices surge

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  64. Capital Markets Weekly: Emerging market borrowers plan liability management to extend duration

    13 January 2021 Brian Lawson

    Colombia, Benin, YPF and Marfrig are among emerging market borrowers arranging liability management measures to extend duration.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  65. EU-UK trade deal will prevent deeper and longer UK double-dip recession in 2021

    12 January 2021 Raj Badiani

    Narrow EU-UK trade deal still a welcome development for UK economy amid tightening of COVID-19 virus restrictions from the latter stages of 2020....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  66. Capital Markets Weekly: 2021 debt issuance enjoys a strong start

    08 January 2021 Brian Lawson

    First-week issuance included record US high-grade supply alongside multiple emerging market successes.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  67. Africa Conflict Series: Mozambique

    07 January 2021 Langelihle Malimela Eva Renon

    The ongoing Islamist insurgency in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province is likely to expand territorially in 2021

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  68. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Materials price inflation continues into 2021

    06 January 2021 Michael Dall

    The pace of price growth for commodities is slowing but markets remain optimistic

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  69. Banking risk monthly outlook: Regional risks in 2021

    06 January 2021 Natasha McSwiggan

    Our banking risk experts provide insight into the regional events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in 2021

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  70. US Monthly GDP Index for November 2020

    05 January 2021 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    Monthly US GDP Index declined 0.8% in November

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  71. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Materials price inflation ends 2020 on a high note

    30 December 2020 Thomas McCartin

    The pace of price growth does cool slightly but supply disruptions remain

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  72. China’s bond defaults

    28 December 2020 Yating Xu Lei Yi David Li Angus Lam

    our analysts look at the impact on economy, banking sector, and state enterprises due to China's bond defaults

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  73. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices continue to surge

    24 December 2020 Thomas McCartin

    Supply chain problems support another sizeable weekly gain in many material prices

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  74. Germany’s manufacturing sector – an unlikely saviour in the pandemic?

    23 December 2020 Timo Klein

    Sub-average manufacturing vulnerability to infection risk and a boost to German exports from East Asia’s robust post-pandemic rebound provide...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  75. Africa conflict series: Sahel

    22 December 2020 Jihane Boudiaf

    JNIM militants likely to expand beyond tri-border stronghold, increasing IED and small-arms assaults against resistant communities and security...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  76. Top ten themes to watch in global banking for 2021

    21 December 2020 Alyssa Grzelak

    As we head into 2021, our banking risk experts explore the biggest trends and challenges the emerging market banking sector will encounter.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  77. Brazil’s economy recovers but risks mount

    18 December 2020 Rafael Amiel, Ph.D.

    The withdrawal of fiscal stimulus, high inflation and mounting debt will constrain growth in the first half of 2021; while the availability of...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  78. Terrorism in Egypt: Examining the data and what to expect in 2021

    18 December 2020 Jack A. Kennedy

    Leveraging the metadata applied to hundreds of security incidents captured in Egypt between 2018 and mid-2020 we provide a more nuanced understanding...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
  79. Pandemic premiums: Estimating country risk

    17 December 2020 Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Alexia Ash

    Using our country risk ratings for a more accurate and actionable forecast of future cash flows

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Investment Economics
    • Economic Risk
  80. Capital Markets Weekly: Late 2020 highlights include successful Ukraine tap and strong equity calendar

    17 December 2020 Brian Lawson

    This week’s market highlights included an upsized tap by Ukraine of its 2033 US dollar issue and Tesla placing USD5 billion of equity at prevailing...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  81. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Historic weekly jump in MPI

    15 December 2020 Michael Dall

    Per our MPI data, markets focus on the success of initial COVID-19 vaccine rollouts to send prices soaring

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  82. Australia China decoupling

    14 December 2020 Rajiv Biswas Rahul Kapoor Hannah Cotillon Bree Neff

    What will decoupling hold for China and Australia? Our research team looks at the trade implications for decoupling around the globe.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  83. Africa Conflict Series: Ethiopia

    11 December 2020 Jordan Anderson

    TPLF target government forces with small arms, IED’s and occasional rockets and artillery following withdrawal from Urban centres in Tigray

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  84. Capital Markets Weekly: Emerging market issuance and IPO successes continue

    10 December 2020 Brian Lawson

    New highlights include an impressive tap by the Dominican Republic of its recent 2032 issue and strong responses to the DoorDash and Airbnb IPOs....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  85. Ethiopia's growth challenged by a myriad of factors

    10 December 2020 Eva Renon Alisa Strobel

    Ethiopia’s real GDP is anticipated to reach a historic low in 2020 amid increased significant downside risk factors including the armed conflict...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  86. Economic recovery in Europe: divergence and double dips

    09 December 2020 Mr. Daniel Kral, M.A.

    European economies’ historic contractions in H1 2020 were followed by large, but partial, rebounds in Q3. A relatively milder contraction is...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  87. Weekly Pricing Pulse: A bull market for commodities

    08 December 2020 Michael Dall

    Our MPI shows that markets were boosted by strong mainland Chinese data and supply constraints

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  88. Mexico’s cargo disruption continues into 2021

    07 December 2020 Johanna Marris

    Cargo disruption from rail blockades is likely to continue in 2021 because of rising job insecurity and ongoing environmental and labor demands....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Coronavirus
  89. Capital Markets Weekly: Multiple Emerging Market issuance indicates post-Thanksgiving improvement in risk appetite

    04 December 2020 Brian Lawson

    This week’s calendar continues to indicate improving risk appetite, including five successful emerging market sales on 2 December.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  90. Banking risk monthly outlook: December 2020

    03 December 2020 Natasha McSwiggan

    Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in December

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Emerging Markets
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  91. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Mainland China and vaccine optimism supports risk-on trading

    03 December 2020 Mr. William May

    Chinese manufacturing and vaccine optimism boost commodity prices

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  92. The new EU-UK trading relationship could deliver more UK economic pain

    02 December 2020 Raj Badiani, BSc Econ MSc Econ

    Any final EU-UK trade arrangement is unlikely to replicate the frictionless trade that that currently exists between the two parties, and it...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  93. US Monthly GDP Index for October 2020

    01 December 2020 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    Monthly US GDP Index rose 0.7% in October

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  94. Holiday shopping outlook is positive despite damper from COVID-19

    30 November 2020 James Bohnaker

    US consumers have found a way to spend money amid the chaos and retail has been a key beneficiary of a widespread shift in spending from services...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
    • Income Distribution
    • Consumer Spending
  95. Eurozone deflation worries to persist

    24 November 2020 Ken Wattret

    Persistent low inflation and inflation expectations, combined with a severe adverse shock, leave the eurozone comparatively vulnerable to deflation...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  96. India and China decoupling

    23 November 2020 Deepa Kumar

    How will China and India realign their external relations in light of a US and China decoupling?

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Scenario Planning
    • Economic Data
  97. Capital Markets Weekly: Sizeable emerging market deal-flow indicates post US-electoral bond demand recovery

    20 November 2020 Brian Lawson

    This week’s highlights included China issuing 5-year Euro debt at -0.15% and Saudi Aramco selling a heavily-oversubscribed USD8 billion package....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  98. Geopolitics in supply chains: The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership

    20 November 2020 Hannah Cotillon Deepa Kumar David Li Anton Alifandi

    On 15 November 15 Asian countries signed a trade agreement that will cover 2.2 billion consumers and combined GDP of USD26 trillion – nearly...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Government Policy & Regulations
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  99. COVID-19 and commodity-price fall raise exchange rate risks within CIS

    19 November 2020 Venla Sipilä-Rosen Lilit Gevorgyan, B.A., M.A., M.Sc.

    Our analysts look at what will influence the currencies of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) in the next few months.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  100. Scenarios for civil war in Ethiopia’s Tigray region

    19 November 2020 Jordan Anderson Eva Renon

    By January 2021, the TPLF will probably retreat to strongholds in northern Tigray, or, in a less likely scenario, retain control of territory...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  101. Global economic outlook getting worse

    18 November 2020 Sara Johnson Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    The renewed rise in infection rates threatens growth and increases the urgency of additional stimulus

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  102. Weekly Pricing Pulse Vaccine news offers commodity demand hope

    18 November 2020 Mr. William May

    Markets seize on positive news despite clear declines in vehicle and foot traffic in Europe and the US

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  103. Angolan consumer demand in decline

    17 November 2020 Alisa Strobel

    Private consumption is expected to decline by 4.3% in 2020 amid significant inflationary pressures and higher unemployment.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Income Distribution
    • Consumer Spending
    • Economic Data
  104. Capital Markets Blog: Riskier debt rallies on possible COVID-19 vaccine news: UK plans Green Bond issuance

    12 November 2020

    Equities, emerging market and high-yield debt have rallied sharply, with junk-bond spreads reaching record lows

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  105. Shifting production from China: The Mexican option

    12 November 2020 Rafael Amiel, Ph.D. Johanna Marris Emily Crowley Alexia Ash

    Is Mexico a viable option as supply chains shift due to a US and Chian decoupling?

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
    • Economic Risk
  106. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities finally yield after weeks of downside pressure

    11 November 2020 Mr. William May

    Rising COVID-19 cases hits commodity prices despite a weaker dollar

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  107. The best is still to come for the US home improvement market

    10 November 2020 Scott Hazelton

    The US home improvement products industry is proving not only recession-proof, but spending has reached all time high levels – and economics...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  108. Eurozone recovery and COVID-19 — heading for a double dip

    09 November 2020 Ken Wattret

    Given the resurgence of COVID-19 and related containment measures, a sizeable GDP contraction is on the cards in Q4 at least.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  109. Banking risk monthly outlook: November 2020

    05 November 2020 Natasha McSwiggan

    Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in November.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  110. Capital Markets Weekly: Planned Australian coal terminal facility IPO to seek AUD1 billion

    05 November 2020 Brian Lawson

    The planned IPO of Australia’s Dalrymple Bay coal terminal facility will seek AUD1 billion+, a major test of demand for coal-related equity.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  111. State economies measured by changes in employment and unemployment rates

    04 November 2020 Tom Jackson

    Summary of battleground state employment picture

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  112. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Tighter lockdowns stoke uncertainty and commodities trend sideways

    03 November 2020 Mr. William May

    Europe re-enters lockdowns prompting questions around materials demand, employment support and the likely cost of another lockdown on effected...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  113. US Monthly GDP Index for September

    03 November 2020 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    Monthly GDP Index rose 1.0% in September

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  114. G20 debt relief initiative

    02 November 2020 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    The IMF and finance ministers from the G20 made some ostensibly landmark decisions affecting the ability of developing countries to access financing...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  115. Capital Markets Weekly: Ant Group to sell record IPO

    30 October 2020 Brian Lawson

    This week’s highlight is the Ant Group IPO in Shanghai and Hong Kong, priced to raise a record USD34.4 billion.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  116. Chile’s new constitution

    29 October 2020 Carla Selman

    A new constitution for Chile is likely to increase the role of the state in the economy, particularly in the provision of basic services.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  117. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices reflect optimism as US stimulus talks continue

    28 October 2020 Mr. William May

    Commodities gain during a to-and-fro week for US stimulus talks

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  118. Capital Markets Weekly: Record EU offering to boost ESG sector

    23 October 2020 Brian Lawson

    The EU gained EUR233 billion of demand, growing the stock of Social Bonds by one-third, with its EUR17 billion 10 and 20-year debut SURE deal....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  119. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity markets revive after China-led hiatus

    21 October 2020 Michael Dall

    Buyers return after China’s Golden Week holiday

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  120. Capital Markets Weekly: Italy issues first negative-yield three-year bond

    16 October 2020 Brian Lawson

    Italy achieved negative yield on a three-year Italian debt auction, alongside record lows at other maturities.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  121. Weekly Pricing Pulse: A quiet week in commodity markets

    14 October 2020 Mr. William May

    Markets lack direction during China’s Golden Week holiday

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  122. European tourism will lag recovery of other parts of the economy

    13 October 2020 Andrew Birch

    Several key challenges will ensure that the recovery of the European tourism sector will lag the overall economy.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  123. Capital Markets Weekly: Bahamas testing market appetite while hybrid debt sales indicate continuing risk demand

    08 October 2020 Brian Lawson

    The Bahamas is planning a bond sale despite sharply-rising debt burdens

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  124. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Creaking commodity prices finally give way

    07 October 2020 Mr. William May

    After two weeks of minor declines, growing downside pressure was released in a broad-based fall

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  125. US-China decoupling:Thinking about scenarios

    07 October 2020

    What are the possible outcomes from a US-China decoupling? Our team sets forth the possible outcomes and the key questions to ask

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Scenario Planning
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  126. Global recession risks

    05 October 2020 Ms. Sara Johnson, CBE

    S&P Global projects that world real GDP will decline by 4.8% in 2020, a far worse outcome than the 1.7% contraction in 2009 at the height of...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  127. US Monthly GDP Index for August 2020

    01 October 2020 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    Monthly GDP Index rose 0.6% in August

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  128. Succession following Emir Sabah al-Ahmad Al Sabah’s death

    01 October 2020 Jack A. Kennedy

    Kuwait succession unlikely to be disputed, with energy and investment policies remaining consistent

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Coronavirus
  129. Weekly Pricing Pulse: More commodities roll over as uncertainty grows

    30 September 2020 Mr. William May

    A second consecutive weekly fall, this week more broad-based, points to more cautious buying as the global economy heads deeper into unchartered...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  130. Country Risk Month Ahead: October 2020

    24 September 2020 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Our country risk team provides a snapshot of the events shaping country risk in October.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  131. Capital Markets Weekly: Zambia seeking rescheduling: EM supply unaffected given prior warnings

    24 September 2020 Brian Lawson

    Zambia is seeking bondholder consent to miss three interest payments starting this October.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  132. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Lumber sees a spectacular fall

    22 September 2020 Mr. William May

    Astronomic lumber prices have corrected 25%, pulling our MPI lower despite broad gains elsewhere

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  133. Capital Markets Weekly: Multiple ESG debuts well received, flagging clearly positive EGG momentum

    18 September 2020 Brian Lawson

    This week’s highlight was the arrangement of successful debut ESG deals by seven borrowers, alongside further airline-sector debt and equity...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  134. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Cracks start to appear, but commodity prices continue rising

    16 September 2020 Mr. William May

    Some indices roll over after strong rallies, perhaps signalling a pause in the commodities rebound

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  135. Leveraging text as data: Tracking economic recovery from COVID19 in the US

    16 September 2020 Mateusz Mynarski Dr. Marie Lechler

    Our experts utilize novel data collection to track economics recovery (among other things)  via high frequency signals from news articles

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  136. Geopolitics in a post-pandemic world: A fragmented world

    15 September 2020 Keerti Rajan John Raines, Ph.D. Laurence Allan, Ph.D. Anna Boyd

    What does it mean for geopolitical security when three key global players - the US, China and European Union (EU) - turn inwards to focus on...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Scenario Planning
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  137. Creditor response in sub-Saharan Africa

    11 September 2020 Thea Fourie Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    While emergency financing from the IMF to cope with the direct and ancillary effects of COVID-19 are agreed to, what about additional supports...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Sovereign Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
  138. Capital Markets Weekly: Debt and equity issuance remaining strong despite technology-oriented equity market correction

    10 September 2020 Brian Lawson

    Record Asian share sales and multiple bond issuance successes indicate that risk appetite remains strong despite US tech-sector correction.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  139. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Sharp sell-off in equities markets not mirrored in commodities

    09 September 2020 Mr. William May

    An overheating equity market corrected sharply last week but all commodities, save oil, were unaffected, marching higher

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  140. WTO leadership race

    03 September 2020 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    The World Trade Organization (WTO) must select a shortlist of candidates to replace Ricardo Azevêdo. Who will be backed and what are their policy...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Government Policy & Regulations
    • Economic Risk
  141. Weekly Pricing Pulse: A relaxed inflation target from the Fed gives commodities fresh boost

    02 September 2020 Mr. William May

    Markets focus on the accommodative Fed rather than growing second waves of COVID-19

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  142. US Monthly GDP Index for July 2020

    01 September 2020 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 1.9% in July.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  143. Capital Markets Weekly: Germany’s Green Bond debut imminent, boosting expanding ESG sector

    01 September 2020

    Germany gave more details of its Green Bond debut in September: media reports suggest this will be a 10-year benchmark for up to EUR6 billion....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  144. COVID-19 justifies pre-existing banking policies in mainland China and India

    31 August 2020 Angus Lam

    New banking policies at play for both Mainland China and India

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  145. Analyzing US equity market peaks

    27 August 2020 Brian Lawson

    How have financial markets been affected by the combination of expansionary fiscal policy and quantitative easing and divergent sectoral performance?...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  146. Capital Markets Weekly: Oman follows Egypt in accessing loan market while bond sales continue indicating duration appetite

    27 August 2020 Brian Lawson

    Media reports claim Oman raised USD2 billion in one-year bridge financing, while five hybrid deals this week indicated a strong “duration bid”....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  147. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Continuing signs of recovery lifts commodities

    26 August 2020 Mr. William May John Mothersole

    Chinese stimulus, a softening US dollar and easing COVID-19 containment measures give buyers the green light to keep going

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  148. The COVID-19 pandemic will hurt long-term economic growth

    24 August 2020 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D. Ms. Sara Johnson, CBE

    While it may be a little early to fully quantify the long-term economic impact of the pandemic, S&P Global estimates that by 2030 the level of...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  149. Capital Markets Weekly: S+P 500 reaches new record

    21 August 2020 Brian Lawson

    The S+P 500 index reached an all-time high alongside recent IPOs displaying exceptionally strong performance.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  150. Brexit and the UK economic impact

    21 August 2020 Raj Badiani Laurence Allan, Ph.D.

    new Brexit uncertainties are sounding on the risk radar, namely whether the 11-month transition period is sufficient to deliver an agreement...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  151. Country risk month ahead: September 2020

    20 August 2020 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Understand the risks shaping geopolitical stability in September from elections to trade summits and beyond.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  152. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Momentum carries commodity prices higher, but demand doubts increase

    18 August 2020 Mr. William May

    Bullish Chinese data early in the week was offset by rising COVID-19 restrictions, a breakdown in US stimulus negotiations and disappointing...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  153. Capital Markets Weekly: US high-grade issuance establishes new record alongside record-low corporate pricings

    14 August 2020 Brian Lawson

    US investment grade supply during 2020 has reached USD1.336 trillion, beating the prior full-year record in under eight months.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  154. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities price gains find a new gear, rising strongly across sectors

    12 August 2020 Mr. William May

    Volatility returns with commodities jumping

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  155. Capital Markets Weekly: Argentina and Ecuador successfully progressing debt restructuring

    07 August 2020 Brian Lawson

    Ecuador’s bondholders overwhelmingly accepted its debt restructuring proposals while Argentina has agreed a marginally revised deal with key...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  156. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities push higher, but with less gusto

    05 August 2020 Mr. William May

    Following a pause in the commodity price rebound last week, the MPI nudged higher, but sluggish demand growth will continue to be a drag

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  157. US Monthly GDP Index for June 2020

    03 August 2020 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 5.0% in June.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  158. Capital Markets Weekly: Issuance quietens reflecting European/US vacation seasons

    30 July 2020 Brian Lawson

    Despite seasonally-quieter conditions, a large Australia syndication and a Hong Kong bank AT1 deal have reconfirmed long-duration demand.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  159. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices finally pause following multi-month climb

    30 July 2020 Thomas McCartin

    The 11-week stretch of commodity price increases ends amid a diplomatic spat

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  160. Country risk month ahead: August 2020

    27 July 2020 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Understand the risks shaping geopolitical stability in August from elections to debt restructuring and beyond.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  161. Country risk scores quarterly: July 2020

    24 July 2020 Justin Valentino Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Countries/territories for which our Country Risk scores have been changed significantly over the last quarter.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Taxation Risk
    • Economic Risk
  162. Capital Markets Weekly: Latin American debt restructurings at risk of stand-off with investors 

    23 July 2020 Brian Lawson

    Both Argentina and Ecuador are facing problems to agree restructurings with their creditors, increasing the risk of “hard defaults”.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  163. State-level employment impact of COVID-19

    23 July 2020 Karl Kuykendall

    US Regional Economic Outlook: Northeast to take longest to return to pre-pandemic employment levels, South faces most acute downside risk given...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  164. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities rise for eleventh straight week

    22 July 2020 Mr. William May

    Encouraging Chinese data and a softer dollar lifts commodity prices for an 11th consecutive week as policymakers weigh further stimulus

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  165. What can we learn from the Swedish approach to COVID-19?

    22 July 2020 Mr. Daniel Kral, M.A.

    Sweden has pursued a fundamentally different strategy in responding to the COVID-19 virus compared with other Western European countries. It...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  166. Capital Markets Weekly: Emerging market issuers continue pushing debt maturity threshold

    17 July 2020 Brian Lawson

    A fourth emerging market borrower is now seeking hybrid debt, amidst multiple long and ultra-long dated issuance within the asset class.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  167. Weekly Pricing Pulse: How far can commodities keep rising?

    15 July 2020 Mr. William May

    A tenth consecutive weekly gain in our Materials Price Index (MPI) leaves the MPI down just 9% in 2020 as capacity closures raise materials price...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  168. Rising COVID-19 virus infection rates have increased the risk of a W-shaped economic cycle

    15 July 2020 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D. Ms. Sara Johnson, CBE

    Our global economics flash for July 2020. While the worst is probably behind us, the global recovery remains weak and subject to further downside...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  169. Capital Markets Weekly: Successful emerging market bank issuance continues to indicate improving risk climate

    13 July 2020 Brian Lawson

    In recent days, three emerging market banks sold debt, including an AT1 deal for Mexico’s Banorte, while China Bohai Bank raised equity.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  170. Capital Markets Weekly: Ecuador and Argentina move closer to debt restructuring deals

    09 July 2020 Brian Lawson

    Ecuador has agreed debt restructuring with around half its bondholders while Argentina has significantly narrowed the gap with its creditors

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  171. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities V-shaped recovery continues

    08 July 2020 Mr. William May

    A better than expected US jobs report and good June Purchasing Managers data offers cheer but growing COVID-19 case counts in the Americas presents...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  172. US Monthly GDP Index for May 2020

    08 July 2020 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 4.1% in May

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  173. USMCA Mexico effects

    06 July 2020 Johanna Marris

    The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement came into force on 1 July, replacing the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  174. Pakistan government coalition instability

    25 June 2020 Asad Ali

    Government-military relations in Pakistan deteriorate over COVID-19, increasing likelihood of PM being replaced or ruling coalition collapsing...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Coronavirus
  175. Dominican Republic election amid COVID-19 spread

    25 June 2020 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB

    Dominican Republic election likely despite COVID-19-virus spread; tourism and transport and energy infrastructure new government key priorities...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Coronavirus
  176. Capital Markets Weekly: Sizeable US equity supply further indicates market consolidation

    25 June 2020 Brian Lawson

    Heavy US equity issuance, including a USD14.8 billion placement by T-Mobile US, took 2020 US share placement volumes to over USD100 billion.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  177. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Accelerating case count fails to dent commodities

    24 June 2020 Mr. William May

    COVID-19 cases rose more rapidly in certain areas of the US, India and Brazil last week spooking financial markets, but commodity prices continued...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  178. Bank of England’s MPC expands government bond-buying program

    23 June 2020 Raj Badiani, BSc Econ MSc Econ

    We had anticipated that the Bank of England would expand its bond-buying scheme by GBP100 billion (USD124 billion), but it was at the lower end...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  179. African Development Bank governance reforms

    18 June 2020 Theo Acheampong, PhD

    Investigations into AfDB president’s suspected misconduct indicates growing multilateral and bilateral creditor rivalry, and likely governance...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
  180. Capital Markets Weekly: New Zealand syndication highlights debt pressure on stronger borrowers

    18 June 2020 Brian Lawson

    On 15 June, New Zealand syndicated NZD7 billion of 2024 debt, doubling its prior record in April: Belarus and Honduras also successfully sold...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  181. EU-UK Brexit Negotiations

    17 June 2020 Raj Badiani, BSc Econ MSc Econ Jan Gerhard

    UK’s plan not to prolong post-Brexit transition makes interim arrangements initially more likely than finalised EU deal

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  182. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities rise strongly again

    17 June 2020 Mr. William May

    Commodity prices continue to surge on improved manufacturing demand and investor interest

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  183. Capital Markets Weekly: African supply reopens successfully with sovereign conditions improving

    16 June 2020 Brian Lawson

    During the last week, two borrowers – Africa Finance Corp and Helios Towers – successfully reopened the market for sub-Saharan African debt

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  184. The deepest global recession in 75 years will also likely be the shortest on record

    16 June 2020 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D. Ms. Sara Johnson, CBE

    Even with the beginnings of a recovery in place, the carnage from this pandemic and the lockdowns can only be described as horrific.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  185. Capital Markets Weekly: Successful sovereign issuance rush further confirms potency of ECB’s PEPP

    12 June 2020 Brian Lawson

    Ten European sovereign issuers successfully sold debt this week after the ECB expanded its PEPP program by EUR600 billion.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  186. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity market recovery accelerates

    10 June 2020 Mr. William May

    Commodity prices surged higher on supply side disruptions and optimism over demand

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  187. Geopolitics in a post-pandemic world – Scenarios for 2025

    09 June 2020 Richard Jackson Nathalie Wlodarczyk, Ph.D. Karim El Assir Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Geopolitics in a post-pandemic world – Scenarios for 2025

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Scenario Planning
    • Coronavirus
  188. Which sectors will be hardest hit by the fall-out from containment measures?

    04 June 2020 Braden Muhl

    Few industries have avoided harm from the impact of COVID-19 and the resulting containment measures. Who is most impacted and who will grow in...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  189. Capital Markets Weekly: Hungary and Deutsche Bank debut in Green Bond sector

    04 June 2020 Brian Lawson

    Hungary and Deutsche Bank completed successful Green Bond debuts this week, highlighting the ongoing long-term growth of ESG funding.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  190. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities focus on the partial relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions

    03 June 2020 Mr. William May

    Markets breathe a sigh of relief that President Trump's press conference did not contain even harsher actions against China

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  191. What will the ECB do next?

    01 June 2020 Ken Wattret

    Following April’s additional liquidity provision, June’s policy announcement is likely to center on ramping up net asset purchases via the PEPP....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  192. May forecast shows a sea of red states

    01 June 2020 Karl Kuykendall

    Our May US Regional forecast shows that every state will experience significant employment and GDP declines in the near term.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  193. US Monthly GDP Index for April 2020

    29 May 2020 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    Monthly GDP Index plunged 11.3% in April

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  194. Argentina in default

    29 May 2020 Paula Diosquez-Rice Carla Selman Alejandro DuranCarrete

    Argentina failed to make a USD503-million payment of delayed interest on three bonds on the expiry of their grace periods, entering a technical...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  195. Capital Markets Weekly: Corporate and bank issuance well-ahead of 2019

    28 May 2020 Brian Lawson

    European corporate high-grade supply in 2020 is 80% ahead of 2019 levels, while US bank issuance is over 40% higher.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  196. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities' rebound continues as eyes turn to China

    27 May 2020 Mr. William May

    Commodity prices record another strong week on prospects for Chinese stimulus and phased re-openings in Europe, Japan and the US

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  197. Regional manufacturing indexes begin long road back in May

    26 May 2020 Tom Jackson

    Regional surveys of manufacturing activity showed signs of improvement in May after crashing to historic lows in April.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  198. Capital Markets Weekly: Three emerging market defaults likely without triggering wider flight from asset class

    22 May 2020 Brian Lawson

    Argentina faces technical default on 22 May, Province of Buenos Aires triggered this on 14 May, and Digicel is also facing a Moody’s default...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  199. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The rebound begins to look more convincing

    20 May 2020 Mr. William May

    Economies reopening and supply-side issues drive another strong gain in commodities

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  200. Measuring country risk from the bottom up results in opportunities

    19 May 2020 Alexia Ash

    A “bottom-up” approach is less volatile and more nuanced than a markets-led approach and results in the potential for investment opportunities...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Coronavirus
  201. Global recovery to take years

    18 May 2020 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D. Ms. Sara Johnson, CBE

    Recovery in global economic output to pre-pandemic levels will take two to three years

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
    • Economic Data
  202. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil helps drive commodity prices higher

    14 May 2020 Mr. William May

    OPEC+ supply cuts and weaker US output lifts crude prices and the broader commodity complex

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  203. Capital Markets Weekly: Grenada tests scope for low-income debt relief while Bahrain extends sovereign risk threshold

    14 May 2020 Brian Lawson

    Grenada became the first IDA country to seek an agreed debt moratorium on its private-sector debt – but then met slated payments to avoid default...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  204. Food insecurity in Sub-Saharan Africa

    12 May 2020 Dr. Marie Lechler

    COVID-19, armed conflicts and locust swarms will drive an increase in Sub-Saharan Africans facing a food crisis

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Operational Risk
  205. Global construction spending is expected to decline substantially in 2020

    11 May 2020 Jeannine Cataldi

    Construction in Americas, Middle East and Africa regions have been the hardest hit by issues related to the COVID-19 virus pandemic.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Capital Construction Costs
  206. Capital Markets Weekly: Continued Latin American supply and perpetual AT1 sales further confirm healthy risk-appetite

    08 May 2020 Brian Lawson

    Alongside bond supply from Bahrain, Chile and a syndicated 15-year deal from Germany, this week has seen the completion of two perpetual capital...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  207. Nearly 2 million Canadian jobs vanished in April because of COVID-19

    08 May 2020 Arlene Kish, M.A.

    Canada's job market was devastated once again with a 1,993,800 nosedive in net employment, which was weaker than our expectations.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  208. Capital Markets Weekly: Equity supply increases including important test of appetite for Chinese risk

    08 May 2020 Brian Lawson

    Primary equity activity has expanded including sizeable deals for Southwest Airlines, Reliance Industries and a substantial Chinese IPO.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  209. Latin America mining industry is expected to be the most heavily impacted industrial sector due to country risk after COVID-19

    08 May 2020 Alexia Ash

    Mining in Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Peru likely to face acute challenges in the wake of COVID-19

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Coronavirus
  210. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Geopolitics re-enters the picture

    06 May 2020 Mr. William May

    Crude oil rises sharply, but markets are becoming nervous about a resumption in the US-China trade war

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  211. Lebanese bank losses to reach 200% of GDP

    06 May 2020 Gabrielle Ventura

    The Lebanese government’s financial sector restructuring plan includes banking sector losses of at least 200% of forecast 2019 nominal GDP

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  212. Malay Peninsula piracy

    05 May 2020 Columb Strack Anton Alifandi

    Growing piracy off Malay Peninsula likely to be exacerbated by economic effect of COVID-19-virus crisis

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Coronavirus
  213. Capital Markets Weekly: National Australia Bank sets precedent for wider bank equity-raising

    01 May 2020 Brian Lawson

    NAB has arranged an AUD3 billion underwritten share placement to offset COVID-19 impacts, setting a sector precedent for capital raising

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  214. US Monthly GDP Index for March 2020

    28 April 2020 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP fell 5.1% in March 2020.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  215. Capital Markets Weekly: Italy and Spain set new demand records within sharply-growing sovereign issuance

    24 April 2020 Brian Lawson

    Italy gained record demand of over EUR110 billion for a EUR16 billion syndicated package, and Spain EUR97 billion for EUR15 billion of 10-year...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  216. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities mirror equities with back to back weekly gains

    23 April 2020 Mr. William May

    Optimism remains in markets despite extensions to lockdowns

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Coronavirus
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  217. Regional manufacturing indexes plumb new depths in April

    20 April 2020 Tom Jackson

    Regional surveys of manufacturing activity established new series lows in April, obliterating the previous lows set in 2009.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  218. Managing global supply chain risk in uncertain times

    17 April 2020 Kristyna Alexova Aleksandra Maguire

    Findings from our EPIC report help supply chain professionals drive more informed decisions about how to best operate in unprecedented times

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Data
  219. After the worst recession since the 1930s, what path will the recovery take?

    16 April 2020 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D. Ms. Sara Johnson, CBE

    What does recovery look like? Our economists provide their outlook

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  220. Impact of COVID-19 on protest and riot risks

    16 April 2020 James Petretta

    Analysis on the impact of COVID-19 on protest and riot risks globally

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Coronavirus
  221. Capital Markets Weekly: Underpinned by central bank quantitative easing, bond markets indicate recovering risk appetite

    16 April 2020 Brian Lawson

    Latin American, Asian and junk-bond supply this week indicates improved bond market risk appetite, despite worsening debt sustainability

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  222. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Are we seeing a bottom

    15 April 2020 Mr. William May

    Volatility falls and prices rise as markets begin to calm

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Coronavirus
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  223. Vulnerability to Covid-19 may be highest in countries not yet affected by outbreak

    09 April 2020 Dr. Marie Lechler

    Our COVID–19 Country Vulnerability Index ranks countries’ capacity to deal with new outbreaks as well as those expected in the coming weeks and...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  224. COVID-19 raises risks to global financial stability

    08 April 2020 Alyssa Grzelak

    In total, across S&P Global’s 52 rated banking sectors, the outlook on our rating is Negative for 41 economies, an increase of 32 since the beginning...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Financial Risk Analytics
    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  225. Central America recession risk

    08 April 2020 Dr. Kari Pries, Ph.D. Cristina Arbelaez

    Severe US recession to curtail remittances to Central American countries, worsening external balances and domestic recession risks

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
  226. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Equities pause, but the commodity sell-off gathers pace

    08 April 2020 William May

    Commodities plunged further, faster in another broad-based move lower

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  227. Country Risk Month Ahead: April 2020

    06 April 2020 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    S&P Global looks ahead to the events shaping country risk in April 2020.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
    • Coronavirus
  228. Ethiopia highlights challenges for African countries in coping with COVID-19

    01 April 2020 Alisa Strobel

    Ethiopia’s Prime Minster calls for emergency budgetary support and debt relief for African countries for which COVID-19 will pose a significant...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  229. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Another week of broad-based declines in commodities prices

    01 April 2020 Thomas McCartin

    Collapsing demand continues to push commodity prices lower.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Coronavirus
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  230. US states to endure the deepest COVID-19 related near-term declines

    01 April 2020 Karl Kuykendall

    No state will be immune from employment and GDP declines this year given the sudden and deep economic shocks associated with the necessary containment...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  231. Capital Markets Weekly: Emerging markets increasingly rely on official lenders

    30 March 2020 Brian Lawson

    While investment grade borrowers are rushing in record volume to capture liquidity, emerging market borrowers rely ever more on IMF support

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  232. COVID-19 recession to be deeper than that of 2008-2009

    30 March 2020 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D. Elisabeth Waelbroeck-Rocha, Ph.D.

    Most economies won’t return to pre-pandemic levels of output for 2-3 years

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  233. Capital Markets Weekly: Risk of multiple emerging-market defaults increasing

    26 March 2020 Brian Lawson

    Despite IMF/IBRD moves to ease official debt burdens, Ecuador has moved towards debt default:  Argentina and African states also seeking relief...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  234. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities sell off as the shut-downs continue

    25 March 2020 William May

    Manufacturing shuts down in Europe and the US as COVID-19 takes a hold

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Coronavirus
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  235. Capital Markets Weekly: Market volatility to remain severe amidst flight to cash

    20 March 2020 Brian Lawson

    Despite large-scale fiscal and monetary intervention including major QE programs, investors are continuing the flight to cash.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  236. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities drop sharply as the global economy shuts down

    19 March 2020 William May

    Energy prices tank as Western Europe begins social isolation in earnest

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Coronavirus
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  237. The global economy: Headed for recession

    18 March 2020 Sara L. Johnson, CBE Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    Disruptions to supply chains, demand, international trade flows, and travel, along with lockdowns and collapsing stock prices, resulting from...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  238. Fed does not dither: Aggressive monetary policy response to COVID19

    16 March 2020 Ken Matheny, Ph.D.

    Sunday’s aggressive rate cut could be the “final” adjustment to the federal funds rate, as there is little appetite now within the Federal Reserve...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Government Policy & Regulations
    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  239. COVID-19: Sub-saharan Africa impact channel

    16 March 2020 Thea Fourie Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Saharan Africa (SSA) region is highly susceptible to ancillary effects from the COVID-19 virus outbreak

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Coronavirus
  240. Capital Markets Weekly: COVID-19 and energy market stand-off generating acute uncertainty

    13 March 2020 Brian Lawson

    This week’s market developments are dominated by the breakdown of OPEC production discipline and the global expansion of COVID-19.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  241. US Off Highway Equipment Impact Study

    13 March 2020 Shane Norton Scott Hazelton

    S&P Global study shows US off highway equipment industry directly supports 480,000 jobs and 2.8 million total jobs, with 35 states at more than...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  242. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices eke out a slight gain as central banks provide support

    11 March 2020 William May

    Commodities rose slightly last week as the US Federal Reserve cut rates to offset the effects of the spreading COVID-19 outbreak

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Coronavirus
    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  243. COVID-19 Update: Few, if any, countries or industries will be immune to economic impact

    11 March 2020 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D. Ken Wattret Elisabeth Waelbroeck-Rocha, Ph.D. Chris Williamson

    Expect a sharp reduction in near-term growth, followed by a slow recovery

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  244. Capital Markets Weekly: Debt Markets reopen with heavy supply but COVID-19 poses lasting market risks

    06 March 2020 Brian Lawson

    Despite a mid-week rush of corporate bond supply, S&P Global views COVID-19 to have lasting and sizeable adverse potential market impacts

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  245. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices tumble again as markets undergo worst week since 2008

    04 March 2020 William May

    Intensifying fears of the global impact of COVID-19 sparked a major sell-off in markets, which hit commodity prices once again last week

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  246. Federal Reserve Rx: 50 basis points of rate cuts now, more possible later

    03 March 2020 Ken Matheny, Ph.D.

    Analysis from our Senior Economist Ken Matheny on today’s Federal Reserve rate cut

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  247. Public Mass-shooting Risk

    03 March 2020

    We recorded 78% more public mass shootings in 2019 than the preceding five-year average.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Operational Risk
  248. Lebanon banking crisis

    27 February 2020 Gabrielle Ventura

    On the precipice of crisis: What’s next for the Lebanese banking sector?

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
    • Economic Data
  249. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices rise before news of Covid-19 spread

    26 February 2020 William May

    Materials prices increase for second consecutive week; freight remains a weak spot.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  250. Capital Markets Weekly: Investor yield hunger underpins record Italian syndication

    14 February 2020 Brian Lawson

    Record Italy syndication and multiple hybrid deals highlight “risk-on” investor appetite.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  251. Malaysian economic growth moderates in Q4 2019

    13 February 2020 Rajiv Biswas

    2020 economic outlook for Malaysia clouded by coronavirus economic impact

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Market Analysis & Forecasts
    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  252. Houthis selecting more UAVs over ballistic missiles in Arabian Peninsula attacks

    13 February 2020 Ludovico Carlino Firas Modad

    Yemen-based Houthi movement has mounted 462 attacks against targets inside Saudi territory since 2015

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
  253. Coronavirus economic shockwave hits the APAC aviation industry

    12 February 2020 Rajiv Biswas

    The Asia-Pacific commercial aviation industry is being hit by a massive economic shockwave from the escalating novel coronavirus crisis sweeping...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
    • Coronavirus
  254. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The coronavirus hammers commodities

    12 February 2020 William May

    Chinese travel restrictions are disrupting manufacturing, driving expectations of a demand shock

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  255. Djibouti contract and tax risks

    12 February 2020

    Djibouti's weakening fiscal position indicates tax demands targeting logistics and telecoms, cancellation of European renewable energy contracts...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
  256. Capital Markets Weekly: India sets ambitious privatization program including LIC IPO 

    07 February 2020 Brian Lawson

    An active European block-deal calendar and India’s privatization program for 2020/21

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  257. Capital Markets Weekly: Poland becomes first emerging market issuer of negative-yielding term debt

    07 February 2020 Brian Lawson

    This week’s debt highlights were Poland capturing five-year funding at negative yields and Ghana raising 40-year bonds

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  258. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities sustain further loses on heavy selling

    05 February 2020 William May

    The disruptive effects of the spreading coronavirus on the Chinese economy sends commodity prices down hard

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  259. Islamic State activity after Baghdadi

    03 February 2020 Columb Strack

    Islamic State activity in Iraq and Syria unaffected by Baghdadi's death, Turkish incursion, or US partial-withdrawal

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  260. China’s stock markets slump on coronavirus black swan economic impact

    03 February 2020 Rajiv Biswas

    Worries about the spread of Coronavirus leads to Shanghai Stock Exchange Index falling 8.2% by mid-morning on 3 February, with the Shenzhen Composite...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  261. Capital Markets Weekly: France and Greece continue long-dated issuance within rallying bond markets

    30 January 2020 Brian Lawson

    Within improving bond markets, this week’s market highlight was Greece’s 15-year syndicated sale

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  262. Coronavirus impact

    30 January 2020

    Concerns around the coronavirus are spreading. Our experts look at the economic and security impacts

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  263. Egypt's anniversary protests

    30 January 2020 Jack A. Kennedy

    Despite government critic's protest call for anniversary of 2011 revolution, significant mobilisation in Egyptian cities unlikely

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
    • Economic Risk
  264. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Coronavirus fears shake commodities

    30 January 2020 William May

    Commodity markets, already slow over Lunar New Year, are being hit by worry over the impact of the coronavirus on Chinese demand

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  265. US Monthly GDP Index for December 2019

    29 January 2020 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.1% in December 2019.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  266. Czechia's Chinese investment relations

    28 January 2020 Blanka Kolenikova

    Czech president’s decision not to attend summit in China unlikely to alter foreign relations or affect investments

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Risk
  267. Tunisia early election risk

    24 January 2020 Ludovico Carlino

    Failure by Prime Minister-designate to win confidence vote increases likelihood of new elections in Tunisia

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  268. Capital Markets Weekly: Emerging market sovereigns enjoy deal rush

    24 January 2020 Brian Lawson

    Five sizeable emerging markets deals were sold successfully on 21 January, with Pemex particularly-successful.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  269. Zimbabwe's currency swap deal

    23 January 2020 Alisa Strobel

    Zimbabwe has entered into a currency swap deal with China, however, the deal is unlikely to solve Zimbabwe's foreign-exchange crisis and suggests...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  270. Coronavirus: Economic risks to the Asia-Pacific region

    23 January 2020 Rajiv Biswas

    The economic consequences of the coronavirus could be extremely concerning for the Asia-Pacific region

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Income Distribution
    • Consumer Spending
    • Economic Data
  271. India policy disputes

    22 January 2020 Deepa Kumar

    Disputes between India's central and state governments probably to increase given disagreement over citizenship law, taxation

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Government Policy & Regulations
  272. GDP effect of a longer pause in 737 MAX production

    22 January 2020 Ken Matheny, Ph.D. Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    Our examines the impact of a longer than expected pause in the production of Boeing’s 737 MAX

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  273. Indonesia industrial disruption

    22 January 2020

    Parliamentary debates over labour liberalisation bill likely to fuel periodic, large-scale protests in Indonesia’s major industrial cities

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
  274. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities move higher on restocking and trade-deal momentum

    22 January 2020 William May

    Commodities powered higher last week on Asian restocking demand and a clearer trade outlook

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  275. Latin America and the Iran-US conflict

    17 January 2020 Diego Moya-Ocampos, LLB Carlos Cardenas Carlos Caicedo Carla Selman

    Iran-US conflict to disrupt Brazil-Iran trade, increase Venezuela sanctions risks, and potentially undermine Argentina’s relationship with IMF...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
    • Operational Risk
  276. Al-Shabaab attacks Kenya

    16 January 2020 William Farmer

    Al-Shabaab assault on airfield indicates broadening of target set to include military installations in Kenya and Somalia

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Political Risk
  277. Capital Markets Weekly: Highly-active primary markets continue, reflecting seasonal factors

    16 January 2020 Brian Lawson

    After record Euro-issuance last week, markets remain highly-active with six sovereign syndicated bond deals: Saudi Aramco grew its IPO 15%

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  278. Brazil's fiscal reforms

    15 January 2020 Carlos Caicedo

    Brazil’s fiscal reform likely to lose momentum in 2020 given president’s lack of engagement with Congress

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Operational Risk
    • Economic Risk
  279. Metals price outlook 2020

    14 January 2020 John Mothersole John Anton

    What will the market look like in 2020 for metals?

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  280. Twenty-six states will raise their minimum wage in 2020

    13 January 2020 Steven Frable

    Economic studies ascribe a range of effects (positive and negative) to higher minimum wages. We take a close look as 26 states make adjustments....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  281. Swedish Riksbank defies global monetary policy loosening

    10 January 2020 Daniel Kral

    The timing and nature of the decision are highly unusual, while the reasoning is not entirely clear.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  282. Capital Markets Weekly: Markets shrug off Iranian risks

    09 January 2020 Brian Lawson

    A record USD3 billion sale by Israel along with successful sovereign debt sales by Slovenia, Ireland and Portugal.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  283. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities dip slightly on gas price volatility

    08 January 2020 William May

    European gas prices plummet on pipeline deal, before US-Iran tensions boil over at the week's end

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  284. Ten states lost population in 2019

    08 January 2020 Tom Jackson

    A trend of weaker population growth overall and a decline in natural population increase has negative implications for economic growth at both...

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Consumer Spending
    • Income Distribution
    • Economic Data
  285. Singapore election outlook

    07 January 2020 Asad Ali

    Singapore's election likely in March 2020, followed by ruling party leadership transition, but policy continuity almost certain

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
  286. Japan's stimulus package

    06 January 2020 Harumi Taguchi, M.A.

    Stimulus package including supplemental budget likely to mitigate downside risks, boost support for Abe administration in Japan

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  287. Capital Markets Weekly: Year-end data flags strong Euro-denominated issuance and selective IPO markets during 2019

    02 January 2020 Brian Lawson

    Recent data shows Euro-denominated debt issuance at near-record levels, but IPO deal numbers fell roughly one-fifth in 2019.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  288. Political risks and capital flows in 2020

    02 January 2020 Langelihle Malimela Ege Seckin Deepa Kumar Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    How will several political developments in selected emerging markets impact on capital flows such as private investment, bank lending, and trade....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Financial Risk Analytics
    • Economic Risk
  289. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Holiday lull slows end of year commodity rally

    02 January 2020 William May

    The six-week rally slowed last week as markets wait for direction in 2020

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  290. Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit for November

    31 December 2019 Kathleen Navin, CBE Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.1% in November

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  291. Guatemala extortion risks

    27 December 2019 Kari Pries, Ph.D.

    Transport networks, small and medium-sized businesses in Guatemala face extortion demands from expanding range of criminal actors

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Terrorism
    • Security Risk
  292. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities continue rising as headwinds clear

    24 December 2019 William May

    Less uncertainty on trade supports rebounding commodity prices

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  293. Kenyan SME prospects

    24 December 2019 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Kenyan MSMEs to benefit from reduced taxation in 2020 but capital constraints to limit private-sector performance

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Legal Risk
    • Taxation Risk
  294. Ethiopia's privatization drive

    23 December 2019 Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    Ethiopia to finalize foreign investment framework for aviation, energy, and telecommunications, but banking excluded

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  295. Thailand 2020 outlook

    20 December 2019 David Li

    Large-scale but peaceful protests likely in 2020 across Thailand because of opposition-candidate disqualification and economic slowdown

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Security Risk
    • Political Risk
  296. WTO dysfunction

    19 December 2019 Petya Barzilska John Raines, Ph.D. David Li Chris Suckling, Ph.D.

    As the World Trade Organization’s (WTO) Appellate Body (AB) ceases to function, around 88 trade disputes are very likely to remain unresolved....

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Political Risk
    • Operational Risk
  297. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices welcome a trade war de-escalation

    18 December 2019 William May

    The US-China 'phase one’ trade deal' reduces tensions and improves the mood in markets

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  298. Top 10 economic predictions for 2020

    17 December 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    What's coming in 2020? Global growth will expand at a rate of 2.5 percent in 2020 before edging up to 2.7% in 2021 and 2022.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data
  299. Weekly Pricing Pulse: The case builds for higher commodity prices

    11 December 2019 William May

    More positive data points help to propel prices to a third week of gains

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Commodity Price Forecasts
  300. Capital Markets Weekly: Liability extension and search for yield continue post-Thanksgiving

    05 December 2019 Brian Lawson

    In the first week after Thanksgiving, two borrowers raised perpetual debt and several others obtained longer-dated liabilities.

    Rank : 0 Score: 11.540745 Core : IHS

    • Economic Data

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